Match Info

League One - Round 16

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Pirelli Stadium (Burton upon Trent)

Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Go, Sky Sports+


	Burton Albion		Blackpool

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	2.95
	2.18	3.45	3.05
	2.25	3.57	3.17
	2.23	3.52	2.83	Watch
	2.27	3.61	3.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.23)	3.53 ↑ (3.52)	3.02 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burton Albion
42.3%

Draw
26.6%

Blackpool
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

26.2%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

26.8%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Blackpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackpool than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	11.1%	33.3%

Burton Albion - Blackpool Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Blackpool will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burton: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Burton (votes: 1 - 50%). Blackpool (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Collins B. (G) 2. Godwin-Malife U. (C) 18. Moon J. 16. Hartridge A. 15. Lofthouse K. 12. Evans G. 4. Chauke K. 8. Webster C. 3. Armer J. 10. Shade T. 9. Beesley J.	25. Ravizzoli F. (G) 20. Ihiekwe M. 5. Horsfall F. 4. Casey O. 7. Evans L. 22. Hamilton C. 26. Ashworth Z. 6. Brown J. 10. Honeyman G. (C) 14. Bloxham T. 11. Fletcher A.
Substitutes
27. Dudek K. (G) 22. Larsson J. 7. McKiernan J. J. 38. Newall J. 23. Revan S. 11. Tavares F. 5. Vancooten T.	23. Banks S. 32. Bardsley H. (G) 37. Butterworth J. 29. Hansson E. 2. Lyons A. 46. Nwankwo O. 40. Upton T.
Coaches
Bowyer G.	Evatt I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Webster C. ↓, McKiernan J. J. ↑,
58', Evans L. 🟨,
60', Fletcher A. 🟨,
63', Evans L. ↓, Hansson E. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Beesley J. ⚽, Lofthouse K. (A),
67', Godwin-Malife U. 🟨,
67', Bloxham T. 🟨,
69', Hamilton C. ↓, Banks S. ↑,
74', Casey O. 🟨,
80', McKiernan J. J. 🟨,
81', Collins B. 🟨,
85', Casey O. ↓, Lyons A. ↑,
87', McKiernan J. J. ↓, Revan S. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 15 and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burton won 1.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Blackpool may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Burton: Delap F. (Inactive) Jones J. (Foot Injury) McKiernan J. J. (Injury) Sraha J. (Inactive) Vancooten T. (Leg Injury) Williams D. (Injury)

There will not play in Blackpool: Ennis N. (Calf Injury) Husband J. (Hamstring Injury) Imray D. (Knee Injury) Taylor D. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Burton: Revan S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Blackpool: Morgan A. (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Burton won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Burton won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burton Albion
English EFL Trophy
11.11.25	Burton Albion - Crewe Alexandra	1:3 ✺
English League One
08.11.25	Bradford City - Burton Albion	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Rotherham United - Burton Albion	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Burton Albion - St Albans City	6:0 ✺
English League One
25.10.25	AFC Wimbledon - Burton Albion	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 LWTWW
- Blackpool
English EFL Trophy
11.11.25	Tranmere Rovers - Blackpool	2:1 ✺
English League One
08.11.25	Blackpool - Cardiff City	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Blackpool - Scunthorpe United	1:0 ✺
English League One
25.10.25	Peterborough United - Blackpool	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Blackpool - Wycombe Wanderers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
08.02.25	Burton Albion - Blackpool	1:1
28.09.24	Blackpool - Burton Albion	3:0
English League Cup
13.08.24	Burton Albion - Blackpool	0:4
English EFL Trophy
10.01.24	Blackpool - Burton Albion	2:1
English League One
26.12.23	Burton Albion - Blackpool	1:0
05.08.23	Blackpool - Burton Albion	2:0
16.03.21	Blackpool - Burton Albion	1:1

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