Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 8

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Bury Town		Alvechurch

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.3	2.18
	2.84	3.5	2.24
	2.9	3.2	2.27
	2.33	3.25	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.33)	3.31 ↑ (3.25)	2.38 ↓ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bury Town
33.7%

Draw
27.7%

Alvechurch
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

28.2%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

28.7%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bury Town's form might have worsened.

Alvechurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alvechurch's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bury Town than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bury Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvechurch than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alvechurch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bury Town - Alvechurch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 0 - 1, Wakefield K. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: )).

Bury Town has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Alvechurch is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Alvechurch may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bury Town
English Southern League Central Division
09.09.25	Real Bedford - Bury Town	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Stamford - Bury Town	0:2 ✺
25.08.25	Bury Town - Sudbury Town	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Worcester City - Bury Town	2:2 ✺
16.08.25	Bury Town - Harborough Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWTL
- Alvechurch FC
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Alvechurch - Leamington	3:0 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
09.09.25	Alvechurch - Halesowen Town	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Royston Town - Alvechurch	0:3 ✺
25.08.25	Alvechurch - Stratford Town	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Barwell - Alvechurch	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWWLW

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