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Current Win Probability
Real Bedford 57.3%
Draw 22.1%
Bury Town 20.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
59.7%
22.4%
17.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.7%
22%
17.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Bedford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Bury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Bedford than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bury Town than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Real Bedford - Bury Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
6', Allen J. (Penalty Awarded),
17', 1 - 0, Setchell J. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Smith T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 1 - 2, Richardson D. (Own goal),
72', 2 - 2, Ponticelli J. ⚽,
82', Jolland R. 🟥,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 1st in the Promotion - National League North and 2nd in the Promotion - Southern League Premier Central Playoffs - Semi - finals).
Real Bedford is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Bury Town has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Bury Town may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Real Bedford for this game.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Real Bedford has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:0 (averaging 1.5:0 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Real Bedford against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.
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