Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 7

Date: 9 September 2025, Tuesday


	Real Bedford		Bury Town

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.4	3.1
	2.02	3.5	3
	2.02	3.97	3.05
	1.13	8.85	12.72	Watch
	2.04	3.5	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.29)	4.64 ↑ (3.3)	4.99 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Bedford
56.7%

Draw
22.4%

Bury Town
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

27.4%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

28.5%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Bedford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Bedford's performance.

Bury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bury Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Bedford than the current prediction. (-15.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Bedford that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bury Town than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bury Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Bedford - Bury Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Evans J. ⚽,
12', 2 - 0, Setchell J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 and 9).

Real Bedford is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bury Town is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bury Town may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Bedford
English Southern League Central Division
06.09.25	Real Bedford - Redditch United	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
30.08.25	Real Bedford - Bishops Stortford	1:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
25.08.25	St Ives Town - Real Bedford	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Real Bedford - Kettering Town	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Halesowen Town - Real Bedford	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LTTLL
- Bury Town
English Southern League Central Division
06.09.25	Stamford - Bury Town	0:2 ✺
25.08.25	Bury Town - Sudbury Town	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Worcester City - Bury Town	2:2 ✺
16.08.25	Bury Town - Harborough Town	1:3 ✺
12.08.25	Bury Town - Royston Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWTLW

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