Match Info

K League 1 - Round 22

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Bucheon Stadium (Bucheon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
South-korea	Coupang Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Bucheon		Gwangju

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.25	4.10	Watch
	1.87	3.30	4.20	Watch
	1.77	3.15	4.35
	1.94	3.37	4.67
	1.91	3.29	4.21	Watch
	1.85	3.40	4.60
	1.87	3.39	4.50	Watch
	1.88	3.20	4.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.77)	3.29 ↑ (3.15)	4.35 (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bucheon
50.1%

Draw
28.4%

Gwangju
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

28.5%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

27.1%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bucheon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Gwangju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bucheon than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Bucheon - Gwangju Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Bucheon will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Gwangju will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bucheon: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Kim Hyeon-Yeob (G) 3. Patrick William 29. Baek Dong-Gyu 20. Hong Sung-Wook 25. Yeo Bong-Hun 4. Yoa koa S. 16. Kim Sang-Jun 26. An Tae-Hyun 10. Rodrigo Bassani (C) 63. Vitor Gabriel 11. Galego	1. Kim Kyeong-min (G) 22. Kwon Sung-Yun 4. van Grunsven T. 6. Ahn Young-Kyu (C) 17. Joao Pedro 40. Shin Chang-Moo 37. Ri Yong-jik 14. Yu Je-Ho 70. Kim Woo-jin 11. Fridjonsson H. 18. Iredale J.
Substitutes
6. Jeong Ho-Jin 50. Kim C. (G) 14. Kim Jong-Woo 13. Kim Min-Jun 71. Kim Seung-Bin 18. Lee Eui-Hyeong 93. Lee J. 9. Park Jeong-In 7. Thiaguinho Santos	50. Ba Loua A. 9. Ha Seung-Un 20. Im Seung-Kyum 2. Jang Seok-Hwan 8. Ju Se-Jong 23. Kim Dong-Hwa (G) 21. Kim Jong-Suk 3. Lee Min-Ki 88. Moon Min-seo
Coaches
Lee Young-Min	Lee J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Kwon Sung-Yun 🟨,
26', Vitor Gabriel 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Shin Chang-Moo ↓, Ba Loua A. ↑,
59', Kim Woo-jin ↓, Moon Min-seo ↑,
63', 🟨,
66', Galego ↓, Kim Seung-Bin ↑,
66', Kim Sang-Jun ↓, Kim Jong-Woo ↑,
66', Yeo Bong-Hun ↓, Thiaguinho Santos ↑,
68', Yu Je-Ho ↓, Kim Jong-Suk ↑,
81', Vitor Gabriel ↓, Park Jeong-In ↑,
88', Ahn Young-Kyu ↓, Jang Seok-Hwan ↑,
88', Fridjonsson H. ↓, Ha Seung-Un ↑,
90+5', Rodrigo Bassani ↓, Kim Min-Jun ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucheon won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Bucheon is considered a favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Bucheon won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:24. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Bucheon won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.1:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Bucheon FC 1995 ✔	31	7	11	13	31:42	-11	32
12	Gwangju FC ✔	31	2	12	17	25:66	-41	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bucheon FC 1995
South Korean K-League 1
01.08.26	Gangwon - Bucheon	0:3 ✺
South Korean Cup
29.07.26	Bucheon - Paju Frontier	3:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
26.07.26	Incheon United - Bucheon	1:1 ✺
22.07.26	Bucheon - Anyang	2:3 ✺
19.07.26	Bucheon - FC Seoul	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWTLL
- Gwangju FC
South Korean K-League 1
02.08.26	Daejeon Citizen - Gwangju	2:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
29.07.26	Gwangju - Cheonan City	1:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
26.07.26	Gwangju - Jeju	1:2 ✺
22.07.26	Gwangju - Gimcheon Sangmu	1:1 ✺
19.07.26	Anyang - Gwangju	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
11.04.26	Gwangju - Bucheon	0:1
South Korean Cup
27.08.25	Bucheon - Gwangju	1:2
20.08.25	Gwangju - Bucheon	2:0
19.06.24	Bucheon - Gwangju	2:3
South Korean K-League 2
30.08.22	Bucheon - Gwangju	2:1
05.07.22	Gwangju - Bucheon	2:1
South Korean Cup
25.05.22	Bucheon - Gwangju	2:1

Upcoming Matches