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Current Win Probability
Bucheon 39.4%
Draw 28.3%
Gwangju 32.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.8%
28.3%
27.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44%
28.5%
27.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bucheon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Gwangju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bucheon than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
66.7%
16.7%
Bucheon - Gwangju Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Bucheon will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Gwangju will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2 - over (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kim H. (G) 3. Patrick William 29. Baek Dong-Gyu (C) 20. Hong Sung-Wook 26. An Tae-Hyun 4. Ye-Geon S. 14. Kim Jong-Woo 83. Jo Seong-Jun 13. Kim Min-Jun 9. Park Jeong-In 11. Galego
23. Kim Dong-Hwa (G) 22. Kwon Sung-Yun 4. van Grunsven T. 39. Min Sang-Gi 17. Joao Pedro 40. Shin Chang-Moo (C) 10. Choi Kyoung-Rok 21. Kim Jong-Suk 9. Ha Seung-Un 50. Ba Loua A. 18. Iredale J.
Substitutes
99. Gustavo Nescau 6. Jeong Ho-Jin 24. Kim Dong-Hyun 93. Lee J. 31. Lee Sang-hyeon (G) 10. Rodrigo Bassani 23. Takahashi K. 25. Yeo Bong-Hun 8. Yoon Bit-Garam
6. Ahn Young-Kyu 66. Bae Jin-woo 8. Ju Se-Jong 70. Kim Woo-jin 25. Kim Yun-ho 1. Kyeong-Min K. 88. Moon Min-seo 33. Park Won-Jae 37. Ri Yong-jik
Coaches
Lee Young-Min
Lee J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
40', Galego (Penalty Awarded),
45+1', 0 - 1, Iredale J. ⚽, Ba Loua A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', Kim Min-Jun ↓, Rodrigo Bassani ↑,
60', 0 - 2, Ba Loua A. ⚽, Shin Chang-Moo (A),
60', Park Jeong-In ↓, Gustavo Nescau ↑,
65', 0 - 3, Iredale J. ⚽, Ba Loua A. (A),
67', Ye-Geon S. ↓, Yoon Bit-Garam ↑,
67', Patrick William ↓, Jeong Ho-Jin ↑,
77', Ha Seung-Un ↓, Moon Min-seo ↑,
77', Min Sang-Gi ↓, Ahn Young-Kyu ↑,
80', Joao Pedro 🟨,
82', Joao Pedro ↓, Bae Jin-woo ↑,
83', Kim Jong-Suk 🟨,
84', Galego 🟨,
87', Galego ↓, Kim Dong-Hyun ↑,
90+3', Shin Chang-Moo ↓, Ju Se-Jong ↑,
90+3', Ba Loua A. ↓, Kim Yun-ho ↑,
Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 11th in the K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 12th in the K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).
Bucheon is K League 1 (Relegation Group ).
Gwangju is K League 1 (Relegation Group ).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucheon won 1.
Bucheon has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Gwangju have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Gwangju may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bucheon is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Bucheon has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:24 (averaging 0.9:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Bucheon against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 11:12 goals (averaging 1:1.1 per game).
Finland
South Korea
International
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Kim H. (G) 
Patrick William 
van Grunsven T. 
Ba Loua A. 
Iredale J. 
Takahashi K. 
Ri Yong-jik 
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