Match Info

Date: 1 May 2022, Sunday


	Busan Kyotong		Cheonan City

	1	X	2
	3	2.85	2.3
	3.1	2.85	2.3
	3.05	2.85	2.33
	3.23	2.82	2.5
	2.95	3.08	2.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↓ (3.39)	2.89 ↑ (2.87)	2.37 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Busan Kyotong
29.8%

Draw
31.6%

Cheonan City
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

32.5%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

31.3%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Busan Kyotong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Cheonan City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Busan Kyotong than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Cheonan City aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	44.4%	22.2%

Busan Kyotong - Cheonan City Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Busan Kyotong will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Cheonan City will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone K3 League (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Busan Kyotong won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Busan Kyotong could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Busan Kyotong have a series of home games.

Cheonan City will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Busan Kyotong won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 11-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Busan Kyotong won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Busan Kyotong FC
South Korean Cup
27.04.22	Gimpo - Busan Kyotong	1:2 ET ✺
South Korean K3 League
23.04.22	Busan Kyotong - Siheung	2:1 ✺
17.04.22	Busan Kyotong - Paju Frontier	0:0 ✺
09.04.22	Busan Kyotong - Mokpo City	2:3 ✺
03.04.22	Busan Kyotong - Changwon City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWTLL
- Cheonan City FC
South Korean K3 League
22.04.22	Mokpo City - Cheonan City	0:0 ✺
17.04.22	Cheonan City - Changwon City	1:2 ✺
02.04.22	Cheonan City - Hwaseong	0:1 ✺
26.03.22	Gyeongju KH&NP - Cheonan City	2:2 ✺
13.03.22	Yangju Citizen - Cheonan City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
07.11.21	Cheonan City - Busan Kyotong	2:1
13.06.21	Busan Kyotong - Cheonan City	2:2
South Korean National League
16.08.19	Busan Kyotong - Cheonan City	1:1
06.04.19	Busan Kyotong - Cheonan City	1:2
15.09.18	Cheonan City - Busan Kyotong	2:1
28.07.18	Busan Kyotong - Cheonan City	0:1
05.05.18	Cheonan City - Busan Kyotong	3:0

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