Match Info

K3 League - Round 10

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Busan Gudeok Stadium (Busan)


	Busan Kyotong		Mokpo City

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.35	3.6	Watch
	1.71	3.59	4.69
	1.69	3.61	4.56	Watch
	1.7	3.25	4.4
	1.65	3.5	4.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.74)	3.46 ↑ (3.41)	4.41 ↓ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Busan Kyotong
53%

Draw
26.3%

Mokpo City
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

26.9%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

26%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Busan Kyotong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Mokpo City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Busan Kyotong than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mokpo City than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Busan Kyotong - Mokpo City Predictions

Users Predictions: Busan Kyotong will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
64', 1 - 0, ⚽,
70', 2 - 0, ⚽,
80', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Busan Kyotong won 3.

Busan Kyotong is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mokpo City has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Busan Kyotong has had a series of home games.

In this match, Busan Kyotong is considered a favorite.

We predict that Busan Kyotong will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Busan Kyotong won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:26. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Busan Kyotong won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Busan Kyotong	23	10	7	6	40:29	11	37
12	Mokpo	23	5	9	9	22:36	-14	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Busan Kyotong FC
South Korean K3 League
02.05.26	Busan Kyotong - Dangjin Citizen	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Busan Kyotong - Gangneung	4:0 ✺
19.04.26	Busan Kyotong - Ulsan Citizen	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	Changwon City - Busan Kyotong	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Busan Kyotong - Yangpyeong	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWTT
- Mokpo City FC
South Korean K3 League
02.05.26	Mokpo City - Jeonbuk 2	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Chuncheon - Mokpo City	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Yeoju - Mokpo City	2:3 ✺
11.04.26	Mokpo City - Pocheon	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Mokpo City - Dangjin Citizen	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
27.07.25	Busan Kyotong - Mokpo City	2:1
05.04.25	Mokpo City - Busan Kyotong	1:3
04.10.24	Busan Kyotong - Mokpo City	2:0
08.06.24	Mokpo City - Busan Kyotong	2:0
13.08.23	Mokpo City - Busan Kyotong	2:0
16.04.23	Busan Kyotong - Mokpo City	0:2
21.10.22	Mokpo City - Busan Kyotong	1:6

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