Match Info

K3 League - Round 12

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Busan Gudeok Stadium (Busan)


	Busan Kyotong		Chuncheon

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	3.6
	1.85	3.2	3.75	Watch
	1.91	3.4	4.11
	1.89	3.31	3.93	Watch
	1.85	3	3.9
	1.89	3.15	3.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.06)	3.23 ↑ (3.09)	3.87 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Busan Kyotong
48.4%

Draw
28.1%

Chuncheon
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

29.8%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

28.8%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Busan Kyotong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Chuncheon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Busan Kyotong than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chuncheon than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Busan Kyotong - Chuncheon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
28', 2 - 0, ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', 2 - 2, ⚽,
86', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Busan Kyotong won 1.

Busan Kyotong has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Chuncheon's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, Busan Kyotong is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Busan Kyotong won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Busan Kyotong won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Busan Kyotong	23	10	7	6	40:29	11	37
7	Chuncheon	23	8	6	9	39:35	4	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Busan Kyotong FC
South Korean K3 League
16.05.26	Yeoju - Busan Kyotong	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Busan Kyotong - Mokpo City	3:0 ✺
02.05.26	Busan Kyotong - Dangjin Citizen	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Busan Kyotong - Gangneung	4:0 ✺
19.04.26	Busan Kyotong - Ulsan Citizen	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWWWW
- Chuncheon FC
South Korean K3 League
16.05.26	Chuncheon - Jeonbuk 2	6:1 ✺
09.05.26	Chuncheon - Pocheon	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Yeoju - Chuncheon	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Chuncheon - Mokpo City	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Chuncheon - Dangjin Citizen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
02.11.25	Chuncheon - Busan Kyotong	0:3
21.06.25	Busan Kyotong - Chuncheon	0:1
28.06.24	Chuncheon - Busan Kyotong	2:2
03.03.24	Busan Kyotong - Chuncheon	0:1
24.06.23	Chuncheon - Busan Kyotong	1:0
11.03.23	Busan Kyotong - Chuncheon	1:1
South Korean Cup
28.03.21	Chuncheon - Busan Kyotong	0:3

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