Match Info

K3 League - Round 11

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Yeoju		Busan Kyotong

	1	X	2
	3.05	3	2.2	Watch
	3.46	3.1	2.28
	3.31	2.96	2.24	Watch
	2.9	3	2.2
	3.38	2.82	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↓ (3.76)	2.98 ↓ (3.25)	2.23 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yeoju
28.4%

Draw
30.7%

Busan Kyotong
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

28.3%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

27.3%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yeoju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Busan Kyotong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Busan Kyotong might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yeoju than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Busan Kyotong than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Busan Kyotong could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Yeoju - Busan Kyotong Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Yeoju (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Yeoju (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Kang Min-Jae ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 and 2).

Yeoju is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Busan Kyotong is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

Busan Kyotong could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Yeoju won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Yeoju won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Busan Kyotong	23	10	7	6	40:29	11	37
10	Yeoju Citizen	23	7	7	9	26:29	-3	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yeoju FC
South Korean K3 League
09.05.26	Jeonbuk 2 - Yeoju	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Yeoju - Chuncheon	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Yeoju - Pocheon	3:4 ✺
19.04.26	Yeoju - Mokpo City	2:3 ✺
11.04.26	Yeoju - Dangjin Citizen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLLT
- Busan Kyotong FC
South Korean K3 League
09.05.26	Busan Kyotong - Mokpo City	3:0 ✺
02.05.26	Busan Kyotong - Dangjin Citizen	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Busan Kyotong - Gangneung	4:0 ✺
19.04.26	Busan Kyotong - Ulsan Citizen	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	Changwon City - Busan Kyotong	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
05.07.25	Yeoju - Busan Kyotong	1:3
01.03.25	Busan Kyotong - Yeoju	1:1
28.09.24	Yeoju - Busan Kyotong	0:1
01.06.24	Busan Kyotong - Yeoju	0:1

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