Match Info

K3 League - Round 23

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Gimhae Sports Complex (Gimhae)


	Gimhae		Changwon City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.51	3.7	5.25
	1.52	3.65	5.35	Watch
	1.64	3.8	5.46
	2.84	3.25	2.44	Watch
	1.65	3.56	5.5
	1.66	3.55	4.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.63)	3.59 ↑ (3.52)	4.81 ↓ (4.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimhae
53.2%

Draw
26.8%

Changwon City
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

25.8%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

24.9%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimhae has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Changwon City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimhae than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Changwon City than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Gimhae - Changwon City Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gimhae will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Changwon will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Ha J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+8', 🟥,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimhae won 3.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Recently, Changwon has had a series of home games.

In this match, Gimhae is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gimhae won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:17. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Gimhae won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimhae FC
South Korean K3 League
31.08.25	Chuncheon - Gimhae	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Gimhae - Paju Frontier	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Gimhae - Gangneung	2:0 ✺
26.07.25	Gimhae - Gyeongju KH&NP	1:3 ✺
20.07.25	Daejeon Korail - Gimhae	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWLT
- Changwon City FC
South Korean K3 League
31.08.25	Changwon City - Daejeon Korail	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Ulsan Citizen - Changwon City	0:1 ✺
01.08.25	Changwon City - Jeonbuk 2	3:1 ✺
27.07.25	Changwon City - Yangpyeong	1:0 ✺
20.07.25	Changwon City - Pocheon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
10.05.25	Changwon City - Gimhae	0:1
29.06.24	Changwon City - Gimhae	0:2
03.03.24	Gimhae - Changwon City	2:1
15.09.23	Changwon City - Gimhae	3:2
21.05.23	Gimhae - Changwon City	2:2
26.06.22	Gimhae - Changwon City	0:2
13.03.22	Changwon City - Gimhae	2:0

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