Match Info

K3 League - Round 22

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Usa	DAZN USA


	Dangjin Citizen		Busan Kyotong

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.40	2.75
	2.52	3.2	2.4
	2.64	3.45	2.44
	2.56	3.49	2.44	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.35
	2.55	3.34	2.38
	2.55	3.25	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.63)	3.35 ↑ (3.2)	2.45 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dangjin Citizen
36.2%

Draw
27%

Busan Kyotong
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

27.9%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

29.4%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dangjin Citizen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Busan Kyotong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dangjin Citizen than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Busan Kyotong than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Dangjin Citizen - Busan Kyotong Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
25', 0 - 1, Yun-Jae L. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Kim D. ⚽, Han Jun-young (A),
31', 1 - 2, Yun-Jae L. ⚽, Park H. (A),
37', 2 - 2, Jo H. ⚽,
39', 3 - 2, Seo D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
70', 4 - 2, Lee Eun-Jae ⚽, Ji Sang-Wook (A),
74', 5 - 2, Seo D. ⚽, Choi Si-on (A),
90+3', 5 - 3, Kong Da-Hwi ⚽, Kim Jun-Seob (A),

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 4).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Dangjin Citizen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Dangjin Citizen won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Dangjin Citizen won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Busan Kyotong	23	10	7	6	40:29	11	37
6	Dangjin Citizen	23	9	4	10	46:39	7	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dangjin Citizen
South Korean K3 League
29.08.26	Dangjin Citizen - Chuncheon	3:4 ✺
22.08.26	Dangjin Citizen - Yeoju	1:2 ✺
South Korean Cup
19.08.26	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Dangjin Citizen	2:3 penalties ✺
29.07.26	Yeoju - Dangjin Citizen	0:1 ✺
South Korean K3 League
25.07.26	Dangjin Citizen - Mokpo City	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 LLWWW
- Busan Kyotong FC
South Korean K3 League
06.09.26	Gangneung - Busan Kyotong	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Ulsan Citizen - Busan Kyotong	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Busan Kyotong - Changwon City	4:3 ✺
South Korean K3 K4 League Cup
14.08.26	Busan Kyotong - Ulsan Citizen	1:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
29.07.26	Busan Kyotong - Jinju Citizen	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
02.05.26	Busan Kyotong - Dangjin Citizen	2:1
South Korean Cup
30.03.23	Busan Kyotong - Dangjin Citizen	0:2
South Korean K3 League
18.09.22	Busan Kyotong - Dangjin Citizen	3:0
14.05.22	Dangjin Citizen - Busan Kyotong	0:0

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