Match Info

K3 League - Round 21

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday


	Gangneung		Busan Kyotong

	1	X	2
	3.30	3.20	1.98
	3.4	3.05	2	Watch
	3.69	3.2	2.07
	3.4	3.26	2.05	Watch
	3.65	3.05	2.03
	3.37	3.37	2.1
	3.35	3.1	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (2.65)	3.18 ↑ (3.05)	2.03 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gangneung
26.4%

Draw
28.7%

Busan Kyotong
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

29.1%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

28.6%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gangneung has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gangneung's form might have worsened.

Busan Kyotong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Busan Kyotong's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gangneung than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gangneung, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Busan Kyotong than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Busan Kyotong, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gangneung - Busan Kyotong Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gangneung won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Gangneung may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gangneung won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Gangneung won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.5:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Busan Kyotong	23	10	7	6	40:29	11	37
11	Gangneung	23	7	6	10	21:32	-11	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gangneung FC
South Korean K3 League
29.08.26	Gangneung - Jeonbuk 2	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Gangneung - Chuncheon	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Gangneung - Yeoju	1:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
15.07.26	Paju Frontier - Gangneung	3:2 ✺
South Korean K3 League
11.07.26	Mokpo City - Gangneung	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWTLL
- Busan Kyotong FC
South Korean K3 League
30.08.26	Ulsan Citizen - Busan Kyotong	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Busan Kyotong - Changwon City	4:3 ✺
South Korean K3 K4 League Cup
14.08.26	Busan Kyotong - Ulsan Citizen	1:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
29.07.26	Busan Kyotong - Jinju Citizen	1:2 penalties ✺
South Korean K3 League
26.07.26	Yangpyeong - Busan Kyotong	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
26.04.26	Busan Kyotong - Gangneung	4:0
12.10.25	Gangneung - Busan Kyotong	2:1
06.06.25	Busan Kyotong - Gangneung	2:0
13.07.24	Gangneung - Busan Kyotong	2:1
31.03.24	Busan Kyotong - Gangneung	0:3
11.11.23	Gangneung - Busan Kyotong	2:3
16.06.23	Busan Kyotong - Gangneung	0:1

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