Match Info

SOUTH KOREA: K3 LEAGUE - ROUND 20

Date: 22 July 2023, Saturday


	Busan Kyotong		Yangju Citizen

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.2	4.2
	1.8	3.2	4.2
	1.85	3.29	4.58
	1.76	3.38	4.5
	1.74	3.3	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.22)	3.27 ↑ (3.1)	4.38 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Busan Kyotong
51.3%

Draw
27.8%

Yangju Citizen
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

29.6%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

29.6%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Busan Kyotong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Busan Kyotong's performance.

Yangju Citizen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yangju Citizen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Busan Kyotong than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Busan Kyotong that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yangju Citizen than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yangju Citizen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Busan Kyotong - Yangju Citizen Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Busan Kyotong will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone K3 League (Relegation) and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Busan Kyotong won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Busan Kyotong could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Busan Kyotong will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Busan Kyotong won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Busan Kyotong won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Busan Kyotong FC
South Korean K3 League
09.07.23	Paju Frontier - Busan Kyotong	0:1 ✺
01.07.23	Busan Kyotong - Daejeon Korail	1:1 ✺
24.06.23	Chuncheon - Busan Kyotong	1:0 ✺
16.06.23	Busan Kyotong - Gangneung	0:1 ✺
09.06.23	Busan Kyotong - Gyeongju KH&NP	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTLLT
- Yangju Citizen FC
South Korean K3 League
16.07.23	Yangju Citizen - Siheung	1:1 ✺
08.07.23	Yangju Citizen - Gimhae	0:0 ✺
02.07.23	Mokpo City - Yangju Citizen	1:0 ✺
24.06.23	Yangpyeong - Yangju Citizen	0:1 ✺
11.06.23	Yangju Citizen - Paju Frontier	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
08.04.23	Yangju Citizen - Busan Kyotong	1:1
12.06.22	Yangju Citizen - Busan Kyotong	1:1
26.02.22	Busan Kyotong - Yangju Citizen	2:1
11.09.21	Busan Kyotong - Yangju Citizen	2:1
08.05.21	Yangju Citizen - Busan Kyotong	1:1
27.06.20	Yangju Citizen - Busan Kyotong	0:2

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