Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 13

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Busko-Zdrój		Hetman Zamość

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.50	2.25
	2.52	3.45	2.3
	2.64	3.41	2.21
	2.4	3.56	2.53	Watch
	2.55	3.3	2.16
	2.77	3.42	2.2	Watch
	2.7	3.4	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.68)	3.43 ↑ (3.38)	2.26 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Busko-Zdrój
34.5%

Draw
26%

Hetman Zamość
39.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33%

26.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

25.2%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Busko-Zdrój has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Hetman Zamość has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Busko-Zdrój than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hetman Zamość than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Busko Zdrój - Hetman Zamość Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Sowa B. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Rodriguez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
50', 1 - 2, Lepiarz D. ⚽, Glaz J. (A),
61', 2 - 2, Pokora M. ⚽,
70', 2 - 3, Kraska K. ⚽,
82', 2 - 4, Kraska K. ⚽,
90', Pokora M. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 15th in the Relegation and 8th).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Hetman Zamość may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Hetman Zamosc	14	6	5	3	26:22	4	23
15	Busko-Zdroj	14	4	2	8	20:32	-12	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AKS Busko-Zdrój
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
10.10.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Busko-Zdrój	5:0 ✺
04.10.26	Busko-Zdrój - Wisła II Kraków	3:0 ✺
26.09.26	Naprzód Jędrzejów - Busko-Zdrój	4:1 ✺
19.09.26	Busko-Zdrój - Moravia Morawica	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Busko-Zdrój	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWLWL
- Hetman Zamość
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
11.10.26	Hetman Zamość - Czarni Połaniec	1:0 ✺
04.10.26	Hetman Zamość - Chełmianka Chełm	2:2 ✺
27.09.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Hetman Zamość	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Hetman Zamość - Wisła II Kraków	3:3 ✺
12.09.26	Naprzód Jędrzejów - Hetman Zamość	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WTWTL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AKS Busko-Zdrój
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
31.10.26	Busko-Zdrój - Chełmianka Chełm	✺
- Hetman Zamość
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
31.10.26	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Hetman Zamość	✺

Busko-Zdrój - Hetman Zamość