Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 11

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Busko-Zdrój		Wisła II Kraków

	1	X	2
	3.60	3.90	1.70
	3.65	3.80	1.70
	3.37	3.55	1.88
	3.88	4.05	1.7	Watch
	3.30	3.50	1.85
	3.87	4.38	1.78	Watch
	3.31	3.55	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↑ (3.31)	3.82 ↑ (3.55)	1.78 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Busko-Zdrój
25.4%

Draw
23.7%

Wisła II Kraków
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

24.9%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

23.8%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Busko-Zdrój has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Wisła II Kraków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Busko-Zdrój than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła II Kraków than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Busko Zdrój - Wisła II Kraków Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
72', 2 - 0, ⚽,
79', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 14th and 10th).

Busko-Zdrój has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Wisła II is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Wisła II carries the favorite tag into this contest.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Busko-Zdroj	11	4	2	5	17:21	-4	14
12	Wisla II	11	3	4	4	13:16	-3	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AKS Busko-Zdrój
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
26.09.26	Naprzód Jędrzejów - Busko-Zdrój	4:1 ✺
19.09.26	Busko-Zdrój - Moravia Morawica	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Busko-Zdrój	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Busko-Zdrój - Wiślanie Skawina	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Busko-Zdrój	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWLWL
- Wisła II Kraków
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
25.09.26	Wisła II Kraków - Czarni Połaniec	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Hetman Zamość - Wisła II Kraków	3:3 ✺
12.09.26	Wisła II Kraków - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Wisła II Kraków - Chełmianka Chełm	0:2 ✺
30.08.26	Naprzód Jędrzejów - Wisła II Kraków	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TTLLT

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