Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 12

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Miejski Stadion Sportowy (Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski) 🌤️ ...


	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski		Busko-Zdrój

	1	X	2
	1.26	5.25	7.75
	1.24	5.00	8.60
	1.27	5.20	7.33
	1.3	5.1	7.8	Watch
	1.26	5.00	7.05
	1.30	5.48	7.83	Watch
	1.32	4.8	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.36)	5.12 ↑ (4.6)	7.51 ↑ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski
70.4%

Draw
17.6%

Busko-Zdrój
12%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.2%

19.3%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

19.4%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski's performance.

Busko-Zdrój has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Busko-Zdrój than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Busko Zdrój Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Lisowski D. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, Posluszny J. ⚽,
42', 3 - 0, Posluszny J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
85', 4 - 0, Gorzhuy M. ⚽,
87', 5 - 0, Bala T. ⚽,

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 6th and 10th).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

The betting markets point to Ostrowiec as the clear and undisputed favorite.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski	14	8	5	1	26:11	15	29
15	Busko-Zdroj	14	4	2	8	20:32	-12	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
03.10.26	Czarni Połaniec - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	1:1 ✺
27.09.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Hetman Zamość	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Chełmianka Chełm	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Wisła II Kraków - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Naprzód Jędrzejów	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLTWT
- AKS Busko-Zdrój
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
04.10.26	Busko-Zdrój - Wisła II Kraków	3:0 ✺
26.09.26	Naprzód Jędrzejów - Busko-Zdrój	4:1 ✺
19.09.26	Busko-Zdrój - Moravia Morawica	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Busko-Zdrój	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Busko-Zdrój - Wiślanie Skawina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WLWLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
31.10.26	Wisłoka Dębica - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	✺
- AKS Busko-Zdrój
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
31.10.26	Busko-Zdrój - Chełmianka Chełm	✺

KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Busko-Zdrój