Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday


	Buxton		Barwell

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.75	4.33
	1.62	3.75	4.2
	1.66	4	4.5
	1.67	3.97	4.69	Watch
	1.62	3.75	4.33
	1.75	4.16	4.91	Watch
	1.66	4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.7)	3.91 ↓ (3.94)	4.49 ↓ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buxton
55.8%

Draw
23.6%

Barwell
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

23.9%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

22.5%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buxton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Barwell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barwell than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Buxton - Barwell Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

(2 - 2)

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Buxton won 1.

Buxton is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Barwell is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Barwell could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Buxton is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Buxton won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Buxton won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buxton FC
English National League North
07.09.24	Buxton - Rushall Olympic	2:0 ✺
03.09.24	South Shields - Buxton	1:0 ✺
31.08.24	Southport - Buxton	3:2 ✺
26.08.24	Buxton - Marine	1:2 ✺
24.08.24	Peterborough Sports - Buxton	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WLLLL
- Barwell
English Southern League Central Division
10.09.24	Stamford - Barwell	3:1 ✺
06.09.24	Stourbridge - Barwell	0:0 ✺
26.08.24	Barwell - Hitchin Town	4:0 ✺
24.08.24	Biggleswade Town - Barwell	2:2 ✺
17.08.24	Barwell - Lowestoft Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
03.02.18	Barwell - Buxton	2:1
02.12.17	Buxton - Barwell	1:1
04.03.17	Barwell - Buxton	0:1
10.09.16	Buxton - Barwell	0:0
19.01.16	Barwell - Buxton	1:0
15.12.15	Buxton - Barwell	N/A
25.04.15	Buxton - Barwell	1:1

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