Match Info

Date: 8 March 2022, Tuesday


	Buxton		Witton Albion

	1	X	2
	1.21	5.5	11
	1.22	5.2	9.6
	1.26	5.64	11.37
	1.4	4.2	6
	1.23	5.7	10.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.34)	5.25 ↑ (4.69)	9.74 ↑ (7.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buxton
73%

Draw
17.6%

Witton Albion
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

19.5%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

11.4%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buxton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Witton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (-33.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Buxton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Witton Albion than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Witton Albion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Buxton - Witton Albion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs) and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Buxton won 0.

Buxton in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Witton is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Witton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Witton have a series of guest games.

In this match Buxton is certain favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Buxton won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Buxton won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buxton FC
English NPL Premier Division
05.03.22	Bamber Bridge - Buxton	0:4 ✺
26.02.22	Atherton Collieries - Buxton	0:0 ✺
19.02.22	Buxton - Gainsborough Trinity	1:0 ✺
12.02.22	Nantwich Town - Buxton	1:3 ✺
08.02.22	Buxton - Basford United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTWWW
- Witton Albion
English NPL Premier Division
01.03.22	Nantwich Town - Witton Albion	1:0 ✺
26.02.22	Grantham Town - Witton Albion	2:3 ✺
12.02.22	Witton Albion - Stalybridge Celtic	0:2 ✺
08.02.22	Ashton United - Witton Albion	0:1 ✺
05.02.22	United of Manchester - Witton Albion	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
04.01.20	Witton Albion - Buxton	0:2
19.10.19	Buxton - Witton Albion	2:0
26.02.19	Witton Albion - Buxton	0:3
17.11.18	Buxton - Witton Albion	0:5
03.10.17	Buxton - Witton Albion	2:0
15.08.17	Witton Albion - Buxton	1:0
17.01.15	Witton Albion - Buxton	1:1

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