Match Info

Date: 8 February 2022, Tuesday


	Ashton United		Witton Albion

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.3	3.4
	1.84	3.4	3.65
	1.83	3.66	4.07
	1.8	3.4	3.9
	1.83	3.68	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.93)	3.49 ↑ (3.4)	3.76 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ashton United
49.6%

Draw
26.2%

Witton Albion
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

26.7%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

20.3%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ashton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Witton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ashton United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Witton Albion than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Ashton United - Witton Albion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 16 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Ashton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Witton has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Witton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ashton will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Ashton won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Ashton won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ashton United
English NPL Premier Division
05.02.22	Ashton United - Bamber Bridge	0:0 ✺
01.02.22	Atherton Collieries - Ashton United	1:2 ✺
29.01.22	Nantwich Town - Ashton United	2:2 ✺
22.01.22	Ashton United - Lancaster City	1:0 ✺
11.01.22	Ashton United - Morpeth Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWTWL
- Witton Albion
English NPL Premier Division
05.02.22	United of Manchester - Witton Albion	2:0 ✺
29.01.22	Witton Albion - Scarborough Athletic	2:2 ✺
25.01.22	South Shields - Witton Albion	3:1 ✺
22.01.22	Mickleover Sports - Witton Albion	2:1 ✺
15.01.22	Witton Albion - Matlock Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
12.10.21	Witton Albion - Ashton United	1:0
08.02.20	Ashton United - Witton Albion	3:1
15.10.19	Witton Albion - Ashton United	1:0
24.03.18	Ashton United - Witton Albion	2:1
13.01.18	Witton Albion - Ashton United	1:1
21.04.15	Ashton United - Witton Albion	2:1
22.11.14	Witton Albion - Ashton United	5:2

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