Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 31

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla (Cadiz)

Referee: Pulido J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Argentina	DirecTV
Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Cyprus	PrimeTel
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports
Malaysia	Astro
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	TV4, Viaplay
United-kingdom	Viaplay
World	Setanta Sports Eurasia


	Cádiz		Barcelona

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3.75	3.4	2
	3.75	3.5	2.05	Watch
	3.89	3.49	2.06
	3.72	3.43	2.14
	4.2	3.7	1.8
	4.32	3.8	1.92	Watch
	3.95	3.5	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↓ (4.06)	3.53 ↓ (3.55)	2 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cádiz
24.7%

Draw
27.2%

Barcelona
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

26.9%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

27%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cádiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	11.4%	81.9%

Cádiz - Barcelona Predictions

Users Predictions: Barcelona will win (86 of 105 users predict this - 81.9%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.54% – 89.26%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ledesma C. (C) 20. Carcelen I. 24. Ousou A. 5. Chust V. 15. Hernandez J. 7. Sobrino R. 8. Fernandez A. 4. Alcaraz R. 27. Navarro R. 16. Ramos C. 9. Juanmi	1. ter Stegen M. (G) 39. Fort H. 33. Cubarsi P. 15. Christensen A. 17. Alonso M. 20. Roberto S. (C) 18. Romeu O. 16. Lopez F. 7. Torres F. 19. Vitor Roque 14. Joao Felix
Substitutes
11. Alejo I. 17. Escalante G. 3. Fali 13. Gil D. (G) 25. Gomez M. 19. Guardiola S. 33. Lucas Pires 18. Machis D. 21. Marti R. 22. Mere J. 6. Samassekou D. 2. Zaldua J.	4. Araujo R. 26. Astralaga A. (G) 30. Casado M. 21. de Jong F. 41. Faye M. 38. Guiu M. 22. Gundogan I. 23. Kounde J. 8. Pedri 13. Pena I. (G) 11. Raphinha 27. Yamal L.
Coaches
Pellegrino M.	Xavi

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Cubarsi P. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Joao Felix ⚽,
45+1', Alcaraz R. 🟨,
45+1', Roberto S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Ramos C. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
62', Vitor Roque ↓, Yamal L. ↑,
62', Fort H. ↓, Pedri ↑,
62', Christensen A. ↓, Kounde J. ↑,
64', Hernandez J. 🟨,
76', Juanmi ↓, Marti R. ↑,
76', Fernandez A. ↓, Samassekou D. ↑,
77', Navarro R. ↓, Machis D. ↑,
77', ter Stegen M. 🟨,
80', Lopez F. ↓, Raphinha ↑,
83', Chust V. ↓, Lucas Pires ↑,
85', Marti R. 🟨,
85', Joao Felix ↓, Casado M. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cádiz won 1.

Recent matches Cádiz is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barcelona is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Barcelona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Barcelona is a favorite.

There will not play in Cádiz: Hernandez L. (Knee Injury) Jose Mari (Knee Injury) Kouame R. (Injury) San Emeterio F. (Injury)

There will not play in Barcelona: Balde A. (Muscle Injury) Cancelo J. (Yellow Cards) Gavi (Knee Injury) Gundogan I. (Rest) Lewandowski R. (Yellow Cards) Martinez I. (Yellow Cards)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Cádiz won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Cádiz won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga
29.03.24	Cádiz - Granada	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.03.24	Cádiz - Como	1:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
15.03.24	Real Sociedad - Cádiz	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Cádiz - Atlético Madrid	2:0 ✺
02.03.24	Rayo Vallecano - Cádiz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WTLWT
- FC Barcelona
UEFA Champions League
10.04.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Barcelona	2:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
30.03.24	Barcelona - Las Palmas	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	Atlético Madrid - Barcelona	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
12.03.24	Barcelona - Napoli	3:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
08.03.24	Barcelona - Mallorca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
20.08.23	Barcelona - Cádiz	2:0
19.02.23	Barcelona - Cádiz	2:0
10.09.22	Cádiz - Barcelona	0:4
18.04.22	Barcelona - Cádiz	0:1
23.09.21	Cádiz - Barcelona	0:0
21.02.21	Barcelona - Cádiz	1:1
05.12.20	Cádiz - Barcelona	2:1

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