Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 27

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas (Madrid)

Referee: Rojas J. A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Argentina	DirecTV
Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	beIN Sports Max
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	Canal+ Sport 5, Eleven Sports 3


	Rayo Vallecano		Cádiz

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.25	5.25	Watch
	1.83	3.2	5
	1.87	3.3	5	Watch
	1.87	3.25	5.3
	1.88	3.29	5.11
	1.8	3.3	5
	1.91	3.41	5.03	Watch
	1.85	3.3	4.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.78)	3.29 ↓ (3.36)	5.08 ↓ (5.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano
51.9%

Draw
29.2%

Cádiz
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

28.3%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

27.6%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Cádiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	34.4%	15.6%

Rayo Vallecano - Cádiz Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 16 - 50%). Cádiz will win (votes: 5 - 15.6%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 34.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rayo Vallecano: 32.7% – 67.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dimitrievski S. (G) 20. Balliu I. 5. Hernandez A. 24. Lejeune F. 12. Espino A. 15. Crespo M. 23. Valentin O. (C) 7. Palazon I. 8. Trejo O. 18. Garcia A. 22. de Tomas R.	1. Ledesma C. (C) 20. Carcelen I. 22. Mere J. 5. Chust V. 15. Hernandez J. 7. Sobrino R. 4. Alcaraz R. 12. Kouame R. 27. Navarro R. 9. Juanmi 25. Gomez M.
Substitutes
10. Bebe 34. Camello S. 13. Cardenas D. (G) 21. Ciss P. 19. de Frutos J. 9. Falcao R. 17. Lopez U. 16. Mumin A. 11. Nteka R. 14. Perez K. 6. Pozo J. 2. Ratiu A.	11. Alejo I. 17. Escalante G. 8. Fernandez A. 13. Gil D. (G) 19. Guardiola S. 33. Lucas Pires 18. Machis D. 14. Mbaye M. 10. Ocampo B. 24. Ousou A. 16. Ramos C. 6. Samassekou D.
Coaches
Perez I.	Pellegrino M.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano won 2.

Rayo Vallecano has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cádiz is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Rayo Vallecano is a favorite.

There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Chavarria P. (Red Card) Mendez D. (Injury)

There will not play in Cádiz: Hernandez L. (Knee Injury) Marti R. (Foot Injury) San Emeterio F. (Injury)

There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Palazon I. (Injury)

There are questionable in Cádiz: Fali (Muscle Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Rayo Vallecano won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga
26.02.24	Girona - Rayo Vallecano	3:0 ✺
18.02.24	Rayo Vallecano - Real Madrid	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	Mallorca - Rayo Vallecano	2:1 ✺
05.02.24	Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla	1:2 ✺
31.01.24	Atlético Madrid - Rayo Vallecano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTLLL
- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga
25.02.24	Cádiz - Celta de Vigo	2:2 ✺
17.02.24	Osasuna - Cádiz	2:0 ✺
09.02.24	Cádiz - Betis	0:2 ✺
04.02.24	Villarreal - Cádiz	0:0 ✺
28.01.24	Cádiz - Athletic Bilbao	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
27.09.23	Cádiz - Rayo Vallecano	0:0
25.02.23	Cádiz - Rayo Vallecano	1:0
22.10.22	Rayo Vallecano - Cádiz	5:1
06.03.22	Cádiz - Rayo Vallecano	2:0
26.09.21	Rayo Vallecano - Cádiz	3:1
Spanish LaLiga2
14.06.20	Cádiz - Rayo Vallecano	1:1
10.11.19	Rayo Vallecano - Cádiz	1:1

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