Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 28

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla (Cadiz) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Fuertes P. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	02:15	Optus Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:15	Arena Sport
Brazil	12:15	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	17:15	Max Sport 4
Croatia	16:15	Arena Sport
Czech Republic	16:15	Premier Sport 2
Finland	17:15	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	16:15	beIN Sports Max
Germany	16:15	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	17:15	Nova Sports
Poland	16:15	CANAL+ Sport 2
Portugal	15:15	Eleven Sports 2
Serbia	16:15	Arena Sport
Slovenia	16:15	Arena Sport


	Cádiz		Atlético Madrid

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.5	1.85	Watch
	4.5	3.5	1.82
	4.5	3.6	1.85	Watch
	4.57	3.61	1.9
	4.57	3.61	1.88
	4.4	3.6	1.8
	4.67	3.72	1.88	Watch
	4.45	3.5	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.5 ↓ (4.67)	3.58 ↓ (3.67)	1.86 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cádiz
21.4%

Draw
26.8%

Atlético Madrid
51.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.4%

25.9%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

23.9%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cádiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.4%	6.2%	86.4%

Cádiz - Atlético Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: Atlético Madrid will win (70 of 81 users predict this - 86.42%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.96% – 93.88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ledesma C. (C) 20. Carcelen I. 5. Chust V. 24. Ousou A. 15. Hernandez J. 7. Sobrino R. 4. Alcaraz R. 12. Kouame R. 27. Navarro R. 9. Juanmi 25. Gomez M.	13. Oblak J. (G) 14. Llorente M. 4. Gabriel Paulista 20. Witsel A. 22. Hermoso M. 12. Lino S. 8. Niguez S. 6. Koke (C) 5. de Paul R. 9. Depay M. 19. Morata A.
Substitutes
11. Alejo I. 17. Escalante G. 3. Fali 8. Fernandez A. 13. Gil D. (G) 19. Guardiola S. 33. Lucas Pires 18. Machis D. 22. Mere J. 10. Ocampo B. 16. Ramos C. 6. Samassekou D.	10. Correa A. 30. El Jebari S. 31. Gomis A. (G) 23. Mandava R. 1. Moldovan H. (G) 16. Molina N. 17. Riquelme R. 15. Savic S. 18. Vermeeren A.
Coaches
Pellegrino M.	Simeone D.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cádiz won 1.

Cádiz is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Atlético is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Atlético is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Cádiz won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 14-32.

Including matches at home between the teams Cádiz won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-18.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga
02.03.24	Rayo Vallecano - Cádiz	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Cádiz - Celta de Vigo	2:2 ✺
17.02.24	Osasuna - Cádiz	2:0 ✺
09.02.24	Cádiz - Betis	0:2 ✺
04.02.24	Villarreal - Cádiz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TTLLT
- Atlético Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
03.03.24	Atlético Madrid - Betis	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.02.24	Athletic Bilbao - Atlético Madrid	3:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
24.02.24	Almería - Atlético Madrid	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.02.24	Inter Milan - Atlético Madrid	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
17.02.24	Atlético Madrid - Las Palmas	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
01.10.23	Atlético Madrid - Cádiz	3:2
03.05.23	Atlético Madrid - Cádiz	5:1
29.10.22	Cádiz - Atlético Madrid	3:2
Club Friendly
04.08.22	Cádiz - Atlético Madrid	1:4
Spanish LaLiga
11.03.22	Atlético Madrid - Cádiz	2:1
28.11.21	Cádiz - Atlético Madrid	1:4
Club Friendly
04.08.21	Cádiz - Atlético Madrid	1:1

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