Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 14

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Optus Sport
Brazil	ESPN 3
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Cyprus	PrimeTel
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Eleven Sports 2
Romania	Prima Sport 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	CMore Sport
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Cádiz		Real Madrid

	1	X	2
	6	4.5	1.5	Watch
	6.5	4.33	1.49
	6.5	4.5	1.5	Watch
	6.62	4.6	1.5
	6.62	4.61	1.51
	6.5	4.33	1.44
	6.6	4.5	1.49	Watch
	6.6	4.5	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.49 ↑ (6.22)	4.48 ↓ (4.5)	1.49 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cádiz
14.7%

Draw
21.3%

Real Madrid
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.3%

21.1%

63.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.1%

20.8%

64.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.8%	5.3%	88%

Cádiz - Real Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (117 of 133 users predict this - 87.97%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.44% – 93.5%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ledesma C. (C) 2. Zaldua J. 5. Chust V. 3. Fali 15. Hernandez J. 33. Lucas Pires 27. Navarro R. 8. Fernandez A. 4. Alcaraz R. 16. Ramos C. 21. Marti R.	13. Lunin A. (G) 2. Carvajal D. 22. Rudiger A. 6. Fernandez N. (C) 23. Mendy F. 15. Valverde F. 8. Kroos T. 10. Modric L. 5. Bellingham J. 14. Joselu 11. Rodrygo
Substitutes
11. Alejo I. 20. Carcelen I. 13. Gil D. (G) 25. Gomez M. 19. Guardiola S. 6. Jose Mari 18. Machis D. 14. Mbaye M. 22. Mere J. 9. Negredo A. 10. Ocampo B. 7. Sobrino R.	4. Alaba D. 19. Ceballos D. 21. Diaz B. 30. Fran (G) 20. Garcia F. 33. Garcia G. 17. Lucas 28. Martin M. 32. Paz N. 26. Pineiro del Alamo D. (G)
Coaches
Sergio	Ancelotti C.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cádiz won 0.

Recent matches Cádiz is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Real is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Real could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Cádiz have a series of guest games.

In this match Real is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Cádiz: Hernandez L. (Knee Injury) Kouame R. (Muscle Injury) San Emeterio F. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Real: Camavinga E. (Knee Injury) Courtois T. (Knee Injury) Guler A. (Thigh Injury) Militao E. (Knee Injury) Tchouameni A. (Foot Injury) Vinicius Junior (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Real: Arrizabalaga K. (Groin Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Cádiz won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Cádiz won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cádiz CF
Club Friendly
16.11.23	Atlético Sanluqueño - Cádiz	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
06.11.23	Getafe - Cádiz	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Badalona Futur - Cádiz	0:1 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga
28.10.23	Cádiz - Sevilla	2:2 ✺
23.10.23	Valencia - Cádiz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWTL
- Real Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
11.11.23	Real Madrid - Valencia	5:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.11.23	Real Madrid - Braga	3:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
05.11.23	Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano	0:0 ✺
28.10.23	Barcelona - Real Madrid	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
24.10.23	Braga - Real Madrid	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
15.04.23	Cádiz - Real Madrid	0:2
10.11.22	Real Madrid - Cádiz	2:1
15.05.22	Cádiz - Real Madrid	1:1
19.12.21	Real Madrid - Cádiz	0:0
21.04.21	Cádiz - Real Madrid	0:3
17.10.20	Real Madrid - Cádiz	0:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.15	Real Madrid - Cádiz	Canceled

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