Match Info

LaLiga - Round 11

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)

Referee: Busquets M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Solh Sports 1, Tolo TV
Africa	CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 1
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cuba	Tele Rebelde
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, DAZN Fast+, Sky Go Germany
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Haiti	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 2
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Madagascar	UpTV
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mauritius	MBC 11
Mexico	Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga 2, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play, Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Disney+, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2, Zor TV
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 22


	Real Madrid		Valencia

	1	X	2
	1.14	8	17	Watch
	1.12	8.8	20	Watch
	1.24	6.96	11
	1.24	6.69	10.76	Watch
	1.16	8.81	17.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.22)	7.85 ↑ (7)	15.31 ↑ (11.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid
81.5%

Draw
12.2%

Valencia
6.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

78.2%

13.6%

8.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.4%	2.9%	8.7%

Real Madrid - Valencia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 8.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - draw (4.95) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

AH -2 - Real (1.69) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (61 of 69 users predict this - 88.41%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.86% – 95.96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Madrid will win (35 of 36 users predict this - 97.22%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 40 Selected Experts predict this event. Real (votes: 38 - 95%). Valencia (votes: 2 - 5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Courtois T. (G) 8. Valverde F. (C) 3. Eder Militao 24. Huijsen D. 18. Carreras A. 15. Guler A. 14. Tchouameni A. 5. Bellingham J. 30. Mastantuono F. 10. Mbappe K. 7. Vinicius Junior	25. Agirrezabala J. (G) 12. Correia T. 5. Tarrega C. 3. Copete J. 14. Gaya J. (C) 11. Rioja L. 18. Pepelu 22. Santamaria B. 16. Lopez D. 15. Beltran L. 7. Danjuma A.
Substitutes
12. Alexander-Arnold T. 17. Asencio R. 6. Camavinga E. 19. Ceballos D. 21. Diaz B. 9. Endrick 26. Fran (G) 20. Garcia F. 16. Garcia G. 23. Mendy F. 43. Mestre S. (G) 11. Rodrygo	10. Almeida A. 24. Comert E. 1. Dimitrievski S. (G) 9. Duro H. 8. Guerra J. 29. Nunez L. 27. Otorbi D. 32. Panach A. 19. Raba D. 13. Rivero C. (G) 26. Rubo 21. Vazquez J.
Coaches
Alonso X.	Corberan C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Mbappe K. (Pen),
31', 2 - 0, Mbappe K. ⚽, Guler A. (A),
36', Tchouameni A. 🟨,
43', Vinicius Junior (Pen),
44', 3 - 0, Bellingham J. ⚽, Valverde F. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Guler A. ↓, Ceballos D. ↑,
46', Tchouameni A. ↓, Camavinga E. ↑,
46', Beltran L. ↓, Almeida A. ↑,
55', Rioja L. ↓, Duro H. ↑,
55', Lopez D. ↓, Comert E. ↑,
55', Correia T. ↓, Vazquez J. ↑,
68', Huijsen D. ↓, Asencio R. ↑,
79', Vinicius Junior ↓, Rodrygo ↑,
79', Mbappe K. ↓, Endrick ↑,
82', 4 - 0, Carreras A. ⚽,
87', Pepelu ↓, Guerra J. ↑,
88', Guerra J. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real won 2.

Real is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Valencia has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Real may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Real is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Real: Alaba D. (Foot Injury) Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Lunin A. (Red Card) Rudiger A. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Valencia: Diakhaby M. (Hamstring Injury) Foulquier D. (Injury) Ramazani L. (Muscle Injury) Ugrinic F. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Valencia: Beltran L. (Leg Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 42:24. (average 2.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Real won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 25:8. (average 2.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
26.10.25	Real Madrid - Barcelona	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.10.25	Real Madrid - Juventus	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
19.10.25	Getafe - Real Madrid	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Real Madrid - Villarreal	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
30.09.25	Kairat - Real Madrid	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWW
- CF Valencia
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	Maracena - Valencia	0:5 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
25.10.25	Valencia - Villarreal	0:2 ✺
20.10.25	Deportivo Alavés - Valencia	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Girona - Valencia	2:1 ✺
30.09.25	Valencia - Real Oviedo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
05.04.25	Real Madrid - Valencia	1:2
03.01.25	Valencia - Real Madrid	1:2
02.03.24	Valencia - Real Madrid	2:2
11.11.23	Real Madrid - Valencia	5:1
21.05.23	Valencia - Real Madrid	1:0
02.02.23	Real Madrid - Valencia	2:0
Spanish Supercopa
11.01.23	Real Madrid - Valencia	2:1 pen.

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