Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 3

Date: 24 October 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports
Italy	Sky Sport
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	CMore Live
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Braga		Real Madrid

	1	X	2
	6	5	1.45
	6	4.8	1.46
	6.8	5.1	1.44	Watch
	7	5.3	1.45
	6.83	5.3	1.43
	7	5	1.4
	7.1	5.15	1.41
	6.2	5.6	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.62 ↑ (5.76)	5.16 ↑ (4.69)	1.44 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: Univision

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Braga
14.5%

Draw
18.6%

Real Madrid
66.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.5%

20.2%

63.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.3%

21.8%

68.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.4%	3.3%	92.2%

Braga - Real Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (83 of 90 users predict this - 92.22%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.69% – 97.75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus (G) 17. Mendes J. 5. Saatci S. 4. Niakate S. 26. Borja C. 18. Vitor Carvalho 8. Al Musrati 21. Horta R. (C) 16. Zalazar R. 14. Djalo A. 23. Banza S.	25. Arrizabalaga K. (G) 2. Carvajal D. 22. Rudiger A. 6. Fernandez N. (C) 20. Garcia F. 15. Valverde F. 10. Modric L. 12. Camavinga E. 5. Bellingham J. 7. Vinicius Junior 11. Rodrygo
Substitutes
7. Bruma 88. Castro 47. Fonseca D. 6. Fonte J. 91. Hornicek L. (G) 10. Horta A. 19. Marin A. 28. Moutinho J. 15. Oliveira P. 22. Pizzi 20. Rony Lopes 9. Ruiz A.	4. Alaba D. 21. Diaz B. 8. Kroos T. 17. Lucas 13. Lunin A. (G) 23. Mendy F. 26. Pineiro del Alamo D. (G) 18. Tchouameni A.
Coaches
Artur Jorge	Ancelotti C.

Preview

Both teams in the last matches got series of victories.

Real could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Real is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Braga: Gomez V. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Real: Ceballos D. (Muscle Injury) Courtois T. (Knee Injury) Guler A. (Muscle Injury) Militao E. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Braga
Taça de Portugal
19.10.23	Rebordosa - Braga	0:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
07.10.23	Braga - Rio Ave	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
03.10.23	Union Berlin - Braga	2:3 ✺
Liga Portugal
28.09.23	Estrela da Amadora - Braga	2:4 ✺
24.09.23	Braga - Boavista	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWWW
- Real Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
21.10.23	Sevilla - Real Madrid	1:1 ✺
07.10.23	Real Madrid - Osasuna	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
03.10.23	Napoli - Real Madrid	2:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
30.09.23	Girona - Real Madrid	0:3 ✺
27.09.23	Real Madrid - Las Palmas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWWWW

Upcoming Matches