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Current Win Probability
Círculo Deportivo 25.9%
Draw 31.1%
Villa Mitre 42.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.5%
32.1%
37.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.3%
31.9%
37.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Círculo Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Villa Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villa Mitre's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Círculo Deportivo than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Mitre than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villa Mitre, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Círculo Deportivo - Villa Mitre Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Fernandez P. (G) 8. Banchio R. 11. Cos B. 5. Gomez L. 10. Grahl F. 9. Iriberri I. (C) 3. Leguizamon M. 2. Lucero J. 6. Martinez J. 7. Rius C. 4. Vilchez J.
1. Mazza J. P. (G) 2. Almada J. 6. Bacigalupe S. 11. Fernandez L. 10. Gonzalez E. 8. Monti L. 7. Mujica P. 5. Perez T. 3. Pinto M. 4. Segalerba L. 9. Tarasco R.
Substitutes
16. Aquino S. 18. Castelli B. 13. Cozzi F. 17. Galeano A. 12. Lerena S. (G) 19. Marin Q. 20. Opazo D. 15. Sasso M. 14. Torres C.
12. Alcaraz M. (G) 18. Ayala V. 15. Cavagnero N. 17. Escobar M. 20. Gomez S. 13. Olguin U. 14. Silva H. 19. Tunessi M. 16. Valeri V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Tarasco R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
70', 🟨,
75', 🟨,
76', 🟨,
78', 🟨,
79', (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 5 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Círculo Deportivo won 1.
Círculo Deportivo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Villa Mitre has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Villa Mitre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Círculo Deportivo won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 0.7:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Círculo Deportivo won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 0.8:0.8).
Argentina
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Fernandez P. (G) 
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