Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio General Santander (Cúcuta)

Referee: Mayorga Londono J. A. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Cúcuta Deportivo		Boyacá Chicó

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.5	5.5	Watch
	1.7	3.55	4.95	Watch
	1.73	3.65	5.66
	1.62	3.78	5.54	Watch
	1.7	3.3	5
	1.66	3.5	5.49	Watch
	1.76	3.55	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.76)	3.55 (3.55)	5.26 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cúcuta Deportivo
55.6%

Draw
26.5%

Boyacá Chicó
17.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.5%

26.5%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

23.9%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cúcuta Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Boyacá Chicó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cúcuta Deportivo than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cúcuta Deportivo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Cúcuta Deportivo - Boyacá Chicó Predictions

Users Predictions: Cúcuta Deportivo will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Abadia F. (G) 26. Abonia Y. 44. Cordoba B. 3. Calcaterra D. 30. Montano B. 7. Berdugo L. 16. Londono K. 6. Orozco S. (C) 11. Arizalas E. 90. Hernandez L. 9. Peralta J.	23. Denis D. (G) 2. Saldana A. 25. Palma J. 24. Banguero A. 3. Quiceno J. 7. Montano I. 28. Diaz J. 6. Aedo A. 11. Ramirez Raigosa D. A. 9. Molina J. (C) 18. Cabrera Y.
Substitutes
80. Albornoz O. 23. Castaneda F. 8. Ceballos J. 27. Duarte Barajas E. M. 17. Ochoa L. 4. Quinones J. 1. Ramirez J. (G) 10. Rios L. 13. Rodriguez B.	17. Caicedo O. 1. Caicedo Vasquez R. A. (G) 19. Castillo J. 22. Diaz Montes J. d. J. 27. Jordan J. 29. Ruiz D. 20. Valencia N.
Coaches
Paez R.	Gomez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Berdugo L. ⚽, Arizalas E. (A),
12', Londono K. 🟨,
23', Arizalas E. ↓, Albornoz O. ↑,
29', Abonia Y. 🟨,
34', Abonia Y. 🟨,
38', Palma J. 🟨,
45+7', Denis D. 🟨,
45+7', Peralta J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Aedo A. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
52', Hernandez L. ↓, Quinones J. ↑,
62', Abadia F. 🟨,
68', Saldana A. 🟨,
73', Montano I. ↓, Diaz Montes J. d. J. ↑,
84', Peralta J. 🟨,
87', Molina J. (Penalty Awarded),
90', Banguero A. ↓, Valencia N. ↑,
90', Montano B. ↓, Duarte Barajas E. M. ↑,
90', Berdugo L. ↓, Castaneda F. ↑,
90+4', Ramirez Raigosa D. A. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 and 19).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cúcuta won 2.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Recently, Cúcuta has had a series of away games.

In this match, Cúcuta is considered a favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Cúcuta won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.8:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Cúcuta won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 2:1.2).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Cucuta	14	6	3	5	17:19	-2	21
17	Chico	14	3	3	8	11:25	-14	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cúcuta Deportivo
Colombian Primera A
24.03.26	Deportivo Pereira - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:2 ✺
17.03.26	Llaneros SA - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Deportivo Cali	0:2 ✺
09.03.26	Millonarios - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Deportivo Pasto - Cúcuta Deportivo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TTLLL
- Boyacá Chicó
Colombian Primera A
23.03.26	Boyacá Chicó - Deportes Tolima	1:1 ✺
18.03.26	Deportivo Pasto - Boyacá Chicó	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Boyacá Chicó - Millonarios	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Once Caldas - Boyacá Chicó	3:0 ✺
22.02.26	Boyacá Chicó - Rionegro Águilas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
09.08.22	Cúcuta Deportivo - Boyacá Chicó	1:2
Colombian Primera A
27.09.20	Boyacá Chicó - Cúcuta Deportivo	0:2
Colombian Copa
10.05.18	Cúcuta Deportivo - Boyacá Chicó	2:2
03.05.18	Boyacá Chicó - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:1
Colombian Primera B
02.07.17	Cúcuta Deportivo - Boyacá Chicó	3:0
04.06.17	Cúcuta Deportivo - Boyacá Chicó	4:2
01.06.17	Boyacá Chicó - Cúcuta Deportivo	5:2

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