Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Independencia (Tunja)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Boyacá Chicó		Rionegro Águilas

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.88	2.63	Watch
	3.05	2.82	2.58	Watch
	3.5	3	2.42
	3.08	2.83	2.59	Watch
	3	2.7	2.5
	3.05	2.79	2.59	Watch
	3.2	3	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.87)	2.86 ↓ (2.93)	2.52 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boyacá Chicó
29.9%

Draw
32.8%

Rionegro Águilas
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

31.9%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

31.4%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boyacá Chicó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Rionegro Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Boyacá Chicó - Rionegro Águilas Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Rionegro Águilas (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rionegro Águilas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Denis D. (G) 11. Ramirez Raigosa D. A. 25. Palma J. 24. Banguero A. 3. Quiceno J. 7. Montano I. 28. Diaz J. 14. Campo Chara J. A. 18. Cabrera Y. 27. Jordan J. 9. Molina J. (C)	1. Arboleda I. (G) 26. Lozano D. 29. Lopes H. 5. Hernandez D. 30. Lara Vasquez N. 25. Roa J. 19. Lozano F. (C) 10. Uruena B. 24. Avalo Trejos J. E. 15. Suarez Chalare F. A. 9. Rivaldo J.
Substitutes
5. Arroyo F. 19. Castillo J. 30. Gomez M. 13. Martinez Y. 10. Mena J. 8. Salazar S. 2. Saldana A. 20. Valencia N. 12. Zapata B. (G)	11. Canozales C. 2. Garcia J. 32. Mena J. 99. Obregon J. 16. Pineda J. 8. Ricaurte A. 12. Salazar A. (G)
Coaches
Alzate P.	Nino J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Lara Vasquez N. 🟨,
37', Jordan J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lara Vasquez N. ↓, Mena J. ↑,
46', Ramirez Raigosa D. A. ↓, Mena J. ↑,
53', Campo Chara J. A. 🟨,
54', Cabrera Y. ↓, Valencia N. ↑,
55', Campo Chara J. A. ↓, Saldana A. ↑,
57', Molina J. 🟨,
58', Lozano F. 🟨,
64', Jordan J. ↓, Martinez Y. ↑,
67', Rivaldo J. ↓, Obregon J. ↑,
70', Uruena B. ↓, Canozales C. ↑,
83', Suarez Chalare F. A. ↓, Pineda J. ↑,
83', Avalo Trejos J. E. ↓, Ricaurte A. ↑,
85', Montano I. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
90', 0 - 1, Ricaurte A. ⚽, Canozales C. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boyacá Chicó won 3.

Boyacá Chicó has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rionegro Águilas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rionegro Águilas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rionegro Águilas will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Boyacá Chicó won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 15:24. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Boyacá Chicó won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.8:1.5).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Aguilas	12	3	6	3	16:17	-1	15
14	Chico	11	3	3	5	10:18	-8	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boyacá Chicó
Colombian Primera A
15.02.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Boyacá Chicó	2:1 ✺
12.02.26	Boyacá Chicó - Jaguares de Córdoba	5:0 ✺
07.02.26	Junior Barranquilla - Boyacá Chicó	3:0 ✺
31.01.26	Boyacá Chicó - Independiente Santa Fe	0:1 ✺
28.01.26	Alianza Valledupar - Boyacá Chicó	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWLLT
- Rionegro Águilas
Colombian Primera A
11.02.26	Millonarios - Rionegro Águilas	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Rionegro Águilas - Cúcuta Deportivo	3:2 ✺
01.02.26	Llaneros SA - Rionegro Águilas	1:1 ✺
29.01.26	Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Cali	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Pasto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
16.08.25	Rionegro Águilas - Boyacá Chicó	2:0
28.02.25	Boyacá Chicó - Rionegro Águilas	1:1
10.11.24	Rionegro Águilas - Boyacá Chicó	0:1
Colombian Copa
02.10.24	Rionegro Águilas - Boyacá Chicó	1:1 penalties
18.09.24	Boyacá Chicó - Rionegro Águilas	2:1
Colombian Primera A
22.04.24	Boyacá Chicó - Rionegro Águilas	1:2
23.09.23	Boyacá Chicó - Rionegro Águilas	0:1

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