The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Once Caldas 62.9%
Draw 23.9%
Boyacá Chicó 13.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.3%
20.8%
9.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
73.5%
19.6%
9.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Once Caldas's form might have worsened.
Boyacá Chicó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Once Caldas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
16.7%
0%
Once Caldas - Boyacá Chicó Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Once Caldas will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Once Caldas (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Parra J. (G) 22. Cuesta Santos J. D. 2. Cardona J. 16. Castano J. 30. Tamayo K. 42. Quinones J. 88. Mejia R. 14. Zapata Ramirez J. A. 10. Sanchez L. 9. Gomez P. 17. Moreno D. (C)
23. Denis D. (G) 2. Saldana A. 25. Palma J. 24. Banguero A. 3. Quiceno J. 20. Valencia N. 28. Diaz J. 6. Aedo A. 8. Salazar S. 29. Ruiz D. 9. Molina J. (C)
Substitutes
12. Aguirre J. (G) 7. Barrios M. 70. Quinones D. 39. Rincon H. 18. Riquett J. 20. Roa A. 5. Rojas I. 19. Rojas T. 28. Zuleta M.
5. Arroyo F. 18. Cabrera Y. 14. Campo Chara J. A. 27. Jordan J. 13. Martinez Y. 10. Mena J. 7. Montano I. 11. Ramirez Raigosa D. A. 12. Zapata B. (G)
Coaches
Herrera H.
Gomez J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
2', Castano J. 🟨,
10', Banguero A. 🟨,
35', Valencia N. ↓, Ramirez Raigosa D. A. ↑,
38', 1 - 0, Zapata Ramirez J. A. ⚽,
44', Quiceno J. 🟨,
45+4', 2 - 0, Zapata Ramirez J. A. ⚽, Cuesta Santos J. D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Castano J. ↓, Riquett J. ↑,
46', Ruiz D. ↓, Mena J. ↑,
46', Aedo A. ↓, Cabrera Y. ↑,
46', Salazar S. ↓, Montano I. ↑,
64', Quinones J. ↓, Rojas I. ↑,
64', Gomez P. ↓, Barrios M. ↑,
64', Saldana A. 🟨,
70', Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↓, Zuleta M. ↑,
71', Sanchez L. ↓, Roa A. ↑,
80', Mejia R. 🟨,
83', Ramirez Raigosa D. A. ↓, Jordan J. ↑,
90+1', Palma J. 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 0, Moreno D. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 18).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 3.
In recent matches, Once Caldas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Boyacá Chicó is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Once Caldas is the clear favorite.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:18. (average 1.6:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Once Caldas won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:10. (average 2.2:1).
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Parra J. (G) 
Denis D. (G) 
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