Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 32

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday


	CD Extremadura		Diocesano

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.33	6.25
	1.39	4.4	6.4
	1.43	4.27	6.51
	1.4	4.47	6.76	Watch
	1.35	4.3	7.9
	1.39	4.4	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.35)	4.36 ↓ (4.7)	6.7 ↓ (7.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CD Extremadura
65.5%

Draw
20.9%

Diocesano
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

19.5%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.5%

18.8%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD Extremadura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Diocesano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Extremadura than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

CD Extremadura - Diocesano Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Extremadura (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Extremadura (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Barrena A. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Callejon J. ⚽,
40', 2 - 1, Callejon J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 3 - 1, Pardo J. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 6).

Extremadura is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Diocesano is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Diocesano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Extremadura is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Extremadura to win the game is with odds 1.3.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Extremadura won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Extremadura
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
18.04.25	Azuaga - CD Extremadura	0:0 ✺
11.04.25	CD Extremadura - Castuera	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Trujillo - CD Extremadura	0:4 ✺
30.03.25	CD Extremadura - Pueblonuevo	3:1 ✺
23.03.25	Puebla de la Calzada - CD Extremadura	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWWWT
- CD Diocesano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
20.04.25	Diocesano - Jaraíz	1:2 ✺
13.04.25	Arroyo - Diocesano	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Diocesano - Llerenense	0:2 ✺
30.03.25	Olivenza - Diocesano	2:2 ✺
23.03.25	Diocesano - Jerez	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
15.12.24	Diocesano - CD Extremadura	0:1

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