Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 16

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	CD Extremadura		Xerez CD

	1	X	2
	2.28	2.98	2.98
	2.38	2.86	3.1
	2.32	3.04	3.06	Watch
	2.32	2.96	3.03
	2.25	3.2	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.27)	3.01 ↑ (2.99)	3.03 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CD Extremadura
39.5%

Draw
30.4%

Xerez CD
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

30.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

31.7%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD Extremadura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Xerez CD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Extremadura than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xerez CD than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

CD Extremadura - Xerez CD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Zarfino G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Extremadura has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Xerez has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Extremadura
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
14.12.25	Minera - CD Extremadura	2:2 ✺
07.12.25	CD Extremadura - Linares Deportivo	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	CD Extremadura - Sevilla	1:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
30.11.25	La Unión - CD Extremadura	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	CD Extremadura - Almeria B	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TTLLL
- Xerez CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
14.12.25	Xerez CD - Atlético Malagueño	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	UCAM Murcia - Xerez CD	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Xerez CD - Real Jaén	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Yeclano Deportivo - Xerez CD	1:3 ✺
16.11.25	Xerez CD - Lorca Deportiva	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWWL

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