Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 26

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Pedro Escartín (Guadalajara)


	CD Guadalajara		Montijo

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.6	7
	1.37	4.1	7.25
	1.4	4.33	7.5	Watch
	1.4	4.23	8.32
	1.4	4.23	8.32
	1.4	4.3	7.55
	1.4	4.1	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.51)	4.13 ↑ (3.3)	7.56 ↓ (7.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CD Guadalajara
65.6%

Draw
22.3%

Montijo
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

27.7%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

26.9%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Montijo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

CD Guadalajara - Montijo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Guadalajara could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Guadalajara is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Guadalajara won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Guadalajara won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Guadalajara
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
24.02.24	CD Guadalajara - Cacereño	0:2 ✺
18.02.24	Talavera de la Reina - CD Guadalajara	0:0 ✺
11.02.24	CD Guadalajara - Ursaria	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	UD San Fernando - CD Guadalajara	2:0 ✺
27.01.24	CD Guadalajara - Badajoz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTWLT
- UD Montijo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
03.03.24	Montijo - Unión Adarve	2:1 ✺
24.02.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Montijo	4:0 ✺
18.02.24	Montijo - Mensajero	0:2 ✺
11.02.24	Getafe B - Montijo	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Montijo - Villanovense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
29.10.23	Montijo - CD Guadalajara	1:2
29.01.23	Montijo - CD Guadalajara	1:1
10.09.22	CD Guadalajara - Montijo	3:1

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