Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 22

Date: 11 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Pedro Escartín (Guadalajara)


	CD Guadalajara		Ursaria

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.25	4.2
	1.71	3.4	4.1
	1.75	3.5	4.5	Watch
	1.83	3.25	3.8
	1.74	3.48	4.61
	1.74	3.58	4.45
	1.75	3.45	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.82)	3.42 ↑ (3.4)	4.27 ↑ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CD Guadalajara
52%

Draw
26.7%

Ursaria
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

26.4%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

21.3%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Ursaria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CD Guadalajara that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ursaria than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ursaria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

CD Guadalajara - Ursaria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out).

Guadalajara is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ursaria has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ursaria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Guadalajara is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Guadalajara won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Guadalajara
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
04.02.24	UD San Fernando - CD Guadalajara	2:0 ✺
27.01.24	CD Guadalajara - Badajoz	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	CD Guadalajara - Unión Adarve	2:1 ✺
14.01.24	San Sebastian Reyes - CD Guadalajara	2:1 ✺
07.01.24	Mensajero - CD Guadalajara	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTWLL
- CDE Ursaria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
04.02.24	Ursaria - Unión Adarve	0:1 ✺
28.01.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Ursaria	3:1 ✺
21.01.24	Ursaria - Mensajero	2:2 ✺
14.01.24	Getafe B - Ursaria	1:0 ✺
07.01.24	Villanovense - Ursaria	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.10.23	Ursaria - CD Guadalajara	3:2

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