Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 24

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday


	San Sebastian Reyes		Montijo

	1	X	2
	1.33	4	8.5
	1.33	4.5	7.5
	1.36	4.5	8	Watch
	1.33	4.15	7
	1.31	4.63	9.74
	1.29	4.9	10
	1.32	4.5	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.62)	4.45 ↑ (3.1)	8.45 ↑ (5.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Sebastian Reyes
68.8%

Draw
20.4%

Montijo
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

29.1%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

28.1%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Sebastian Reyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Sebastian Reyes's performance.

Montijo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Sebastian Reyes than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Sebastian Reyes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

San Sebastian Reyes - Montijo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 18 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match SS Reyes is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches SS Reyes won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Sebastian Reyes
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
18.02.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - San Sebastian Reyes	1:0 ✺
11.02.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Talavera de la Reina - San Sebastian Reyes	1:4 ✺
28.01.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Ursaria	3:1 ✺
21.01.24	UD San Fernando - San Sebastian Reyes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTWWT
- UD Montijo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
18.02.24	Montijo - Mensajero	0:2 ✺
11.02.24	Getafe B - Montijo	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Montijo - Villanovense	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Navalcarnero - Montijo	4:2 ✺
21.01.24	Montijo - Numancia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.10.23	Montijo - San Sebastian Reyes	1:1

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