Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 20

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday


	San Sebastian Reyes		Ursaria

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.4	5.5
	1.66	3.3	4.75
	1.7	3.4	5
	1.64	3.2	4.59
	1.67	3.45	5.48
	1.53	3.4	5.5
	1.68	3.44	5.18
	1.7	3.4	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.55)	3.37 ↓ (3.4)	5.09 ↓ (5.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Sebastian Reyes
55.1%

Draw
27%

Ursaria
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

26.4%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

25.1%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Sebastian Reyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Ursaria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Sebastian Reyes than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Sebastian Reyes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ursaria than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

San Sebastian Reyes - Ursaria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 12).

SS Reyes is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ursaria is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match SS Reyes is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's SS Reyes to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Last 1 head-to-head matches SS Reyes won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Sebastian Reyes
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
21.01.24	UD San Fernando - San Sebastian Reyes	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	San Sebastian Reyes - CD Guadalajara	2:1 ✺
07.01.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Unión Adarve	4:0 ✺
17.12.23	Badajoz - San Sebastian Reyes	0:0 ✺
10.12.23	Mensajero - San Sebastian Reyes	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWWTW
- CDE Ursaria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
21.01.24	Ursaria - Mensajero	2:2 ✺
14.01.24	Getafe B - Ursaria	1:0 ✺
07.01.24	Villanovense - Ursaria	3:0 ✺
17.12.23	Ursaria - Navalcarnero	1:0 ✺
10.12.23	Numancia - Ursaria	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
17.09.23	Ursaria - San Sebastian Reyes	1:1

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