Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 17

Date: 7 January 2024, Sunday


	Villanovense		Ursaria

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	3.3
	2.1	2.9	3.3
	2.1	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.2	2.96	3.58
	2.2	2.97	3.58
	2.25	2.88	3
	2.1	3.02	3.51
	2.11	3	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.45)	2.98 ↑ (2.88)	3.4 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villanovense
42.6%

Draw
30.6%

Ursaria
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

30.8%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

30%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villanovense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villanovense's performance.

Ursaria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ursaria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villanovense than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villanovense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ursaria than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ursaria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Villanovense - Ursaria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out and 7).

The competitors look crappy now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Villanovense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
17.12.23	UD San Fernando - Villanovense	2:0 ✺
10.12.23	Villanovense - CD Guadalajara	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.12.23	Villanovense - Betis	1:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
03.12.23	Unión Adarve - Villanovense	1:1 ✺
26.11.23	Villanovense - San Sebastian Reyes	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLTL
- CDE Ursaria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
17.12.23	Ursaria - Navalcarnero	1:0 ✺
10.12.23	Numancia - Ursaria	3:0 ✺
03.12.23	Ursaria - Illescas	0:1 ✺
26.11.23	Atlético Paso - Ursaria	2:0 ✺
19.11.23	Ursaria - Llerenense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WLLLT

Villanovense - Ursaria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide