The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
CF Montréal 34.2%
Draw 26.9%
New York City 38.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.7%
27.3%
37%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.2%
26.9%
37.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.1%
11.1%
77.8%
CF Montréal - New York City Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Montreal will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). NY City will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for NY City: 50.6% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Gillier T. (G) 27. Bugaj D. 2. Neal J. 4. Vera B. 13. Petrasso L. 22. Loturi V. 6. Piette S. (C) 8. Longstaff M. 23. Streit N. 9. Owusu P. 10. Ivan Jaime
49. Freese M. (G) 24. Gray T. 13. Thiago Martins (C) 5. Trewin K. 22. O'Toole K. 55. Parks K. 10. Moralez M. 21. O'Neill A. 26. Ojeda A. 7. Mercau N. 87. Farnos A.
Substitutes
1. Breza S. (G) 5. Craig B. 29. Escobar O. 21. Herbers F. 26. Losenko I. 24. Morales E. 7. Opoku M. 14. Rios D. 17. Thorhallsson D.
29. Carrizo M. 2. Cavallo N. 8. Perea A. 34. Raul Gustavo 99. Reid S. 30. Romero T. (G) 32. Shore J. 11. Talles Magno 19. Tanasijevic S.
Coaches
Eullaffroy P.
Jansen P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Owusu P. ⚽, Longstaff M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Streit N. ↓, Escobar O. ↑,
63', Piette S. 🟨,
65', Parks K. ↓, Raul Gustavo ↑,
65', Ojeda A. ↓, Reid S. ↑,
65', Farnos A. ↓, Talles Magno ↑,
70', Piette S. ↓, Herbers F. ↑,
74', Gray T. 🟨,
75', Owusu P. ↓, Rios D. ↑,
77', Gray T. 🟨,
81', Escobar O. 🟨,
81', Mercau N. 🟨,
82', Moralez M. ↓, Perea A. ↑,
84', Vera B. 🟨,
87', Neal J. ↓, Morales E. ↑,
87', Longstaff M. 🟨,
88', Bugaj D. 🟨,
90+1', Trewin K. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 3.
Montreal is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
NY City's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
NY City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Montreal: Carmona W.
(Injury)
Hidalgo B.
(Inactive)
Ibrahim S.
(Back Injury)
Synchuk G.
(Injury)
There will not play in NY City: Baiera D.
(Knee Injury)
Martinez A.
(Knee Injury)
Perea A.
(Leg Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 13:29. (average 0.7:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.8:1.2).
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Gillier T. (G) 
Bugaj D. 
Neal J. 
Vera B. 
Petrasso L. 
Longstaff M. 
Streit N. 
Owusu P. 
Ivan Jaime 
Gray T. 
Thiago Martins (C) 
Trewin K. 
O'Toole K. 
Moralez M. 
Escobar O. 
Herbers F. 
Losenko I. 
Morales E. 
Rios D. 
Thorhallsson D. 
Romero T. (G) 
Tanasijevic S. 
Eullaffroy P. 
Jansen P. 
