The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New York City 50.4%
Draw 24.4%
Cincinnati 25.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.2%
25.4%
22.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.3%
24.9%
21.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
16.7%
16.7%
New York City - Cincinnati Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. NY City will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. NY City (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
49. Freese M. (G) 24. Gray T. 13. Thiago Martins (C) 34. Raul Gustavo 22. O'Toole K. 5. Trewin K. 21. O'Neill A. 26. Ojeda A. 10. Moralez M. 17. Wolf H. 7. Mercau N.
18. Celentano R. (G) 24. Smith K. 4. Hagglund N. 15. Hadebe T. 66. Echenique E. 20. Bucha P. 11. Gidi S. 17. Mboma K. 10. Evander (C) 9. Denkey K. 16. Barlow T.
Substitutes
29. Carrizo M. 2. Cavallo N. 87. Farnos A. 55. Parks K. 99. Reid S. 30. Romero T. (G) 32. Shore J. 11. Talles Magno 19. Tanasijevic S.
27. Anunga T. 88. Chirila A. 3. Flores G. 99. Jabbari A. 37. Jimenez S. 13. Louro E. (G) 2. Powell A. 22. Valenzuela G.
Coaches
Jansen P.
Noonan P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Mercau N. ⚽,
23', Hadebe T. ↓, Powell A. ↑,
32', 1 - 1, Denkey K. ⚽, Echenique E. (A),
35', 2 - 1, Mercau N. ⚽, Moralez M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Powell A. ↓, Chirila A. ↑,
50', Flores G. 🟨,
53', 3 - 1, Ojeda A. ⚽, O'Neill A. (A),
60', Echenique E. ↓, Valenzuela G. ↑,
60', Flores G. ↓, Anunga T. ↑,
65', 3 - 2, Denkey K. ⚽, Valenzuela G. (A),
71', Smith K. 🟨,
72', Moralez M. ↓, Talles Magno ↑,
72', Wolf H. ↓, Parks K. ↑,
79', 4 - 2, Talles Magno ⚽, Ojeda A. (A),
83', Barlow T. ↓, Jabbari A. ↑,
84', Ojeda A. ↓, Shore J. ↑,
84', Mercau N. ↓, Farnos A. ↑,
90', Gray T. ↓, Tanasijevic S. ↑,
90+2', 4 - 3, Chirila A. ⚽, Bucha P. (A),
90+5', 4 - 4, Evander (Penalty Awarded),
90+6', Anunga T. 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 4.
NY City has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Cincinnati has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
NY City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, NY City is considered a favorite.
There will not play in NY City: Baiera D.
(Knee Injury)
Martinez A.
(Knee Injury)
Perea A.
(Leg Injury)
There will not play in Cincinnati: Fletcher K.
(Knee Injury)
Miazga M.
(Leg Injury)
Nwobodo O.
(Leg Injury)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, NY City won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 39:26. (average 2.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 25:10. (average 2.8:1.1).
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Freese M. (G) 
Gray T. 
Thiago Martins (C) 
O'Toole K. 
Trewin K. 
Ojeda A. 
Wolf H. 
Hadebe T. 
Echenique E. 
Bucha P. 
Gidi S. 
Mboma K. 
Denkey K. 
Farnos A. 
Romero T. (G) 
Tanasijevic S. 
Anunga T. 
Flores G. 
Jabbari A. 
Jansen P. 
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