Match Info

MLS

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: BC Place (Vancouver, BC)

Referee: Marrufo J. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV International


	Vancouver Whitecaps		New York City

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.33	5.5	Watch
	1.75	3.9	4.1
	1.58	4.25	5.4	Watch
	1.57	4.45	5.68
	1.55	4.51	5.42	Watch
	1.57	4	5
	1.59	4.45	5.64	Watch
	1.75	3.9	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.75)	4.22 ↑ (3.73)	5.13 ↑ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Vancouver Whitecaps
59%

Draw
22.5%

New York City
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

24.8%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

25%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vancouver Whitecaps has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vancouver Whitecaps's performance.

New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vancouver Whitecaps than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vancouver Whitecaps that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Vancouver Whitecaps - New York City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vancouver (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Vancouver Whitecaps will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Takaoka Y. (G) 18. Ocampo E. 33. Blackmon T. 2. Laborda M. 28. Johnson T. 16. Berhalter S. 20. Cubas A. 59. Badwal J. 13. Muller T. (C) 7. Sabaly C. 24. White B.	49. Freese M. (G) 24. Gray T. 34. Raul Gustavo 5. Trewin K. 22. O'Toole K. 55. Parks K. 21. O'Neill A. 10. Moralez M. 26. Ojeda A. 7. Mercau N. 17. Wolf H.
Substitutes
32. Boehmer I. (G) 17. Cabrera Nakamura K. G. 14. Caicedo B. 41. Djordjevic N. 19. Elloumi R. 29. Gherasimencov M. 22. Jackson A. 8. Larraz O. 11. Sabbi E.	2. Cavallo N. 87. Farnos A. 88. Jones M. 15. Pierre K. 99. Reid S. 30. Romero T. (G) 32. Shore J. 11. Talles Magno 19. Tanasijevic S.
Coaches
Sorensen J.	Jansen P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Laborda M. ⚽, Berhalter S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Cubas A. 🟨,
63', Sabaly C. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
63', Cubas A. ↓, Sabbi E. ↑,
63', Wolf H. ↓, Talles Magno ↑,
77', Berhalter S. ↓, Larraz O. ↑,
77', Ojeda A. ↓, Jones M. ↑,
80', Larraz O. 🟨,
87', 2 - 0, White B. ⚽, Caicedo B. (A),
88', O'Neill A. ↓, Farnos A. ↑,
88', Parks K. ↓, Shore J. ↑,
90+1', White B. ↓, Elloumi R. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vancouver won 1.

Recent performances by Vancouver have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

NY City is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, Vancouver is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Vancouver won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.4:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Vancouver won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

New York City - the odds 4.15 are the expected chance of winning is 22.33%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vancouver Whitecaps
MLS
04.04.26	Vancouver Whitecaps - Portland Timbers	3:2 ✺
21.03.26	Vancouver Whitecaps - San Jose Earthquakes	0:1 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
18.03.26	Seattle Sounders - Vancouver Whitecaps	2:1 ✺
MLS
15.03.26	Vancouver Whitecaps - Minnesota United	6:0 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
12.03.26	Vancouver Whitecaps - Seattle Sounders	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLWL
- New York City FC
MLS
04.04.26	New York City - St. Louis City	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	New York City - Inter Miami	2:3 ✺
14.03.26	New York City - Colorado Rapids	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	New York City - Orlando City	5:0 ✺
01.03.26	Philadelphia Union - New York City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
02.09.23	New York City - Vancouver Whitecaps	1:1
05.03.22	Vancouver Whitecaps - New York City	0:0
31.08.19	Vancouver Whitecaps - New York City	1:3
04.08.18	New York City - Vancouver Whitecaps	2:2
05.07.17	Vancouver Whitecaps - New York City	3:2
30.04.16	New York City - Vancouver Whitecaps	3:2
26.09.15	Vancouver Whitecaps - New York City	1:2

Upcoming Matches