Match Info

MLS

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, OH)

Referee: Dujic F. (Can)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV International


	Cincinnati		CF Montréal

	1	X	2
	1.66	4	4.33	Watch
	1.68	3.9	4.4
	1.75	4.15	4.25	Watch
	1.76	4.18	4.5
	1.7	4.15	4.45	Watch
	1.7	3.8	4.2
	1.77	4.15	4.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.65)	4.05 ↑ (3.95)	4.37 ↓ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cincinnati
55%

Draw
23.4%

CF Montréal
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

23.3%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

20.4%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

CF Montréal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cincinnati that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Cincinnati - CF Montréal Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Cincinnati will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Louro E. (G) 2. Powell A. 21. Miazga M. 12. Robinson M. (C) 66. Echenique E. 20. Bucha P. 5. Nwobodo O. 29. Ramirez Leon B. J. 10. Evander 9. Denkey K. 99. Jabbari A.	31. Gillier T. (G) 19. Hidalgo B. 24. Morales E. 4. Vera B. 13. Petrasso L. 22. Loturi V. 8. Longstaff M. 18. Synchuk G. 16. Carmona W. 10. Ivan Jaime 9. Owusu P. (C)
Substitutes
16. Barlow T. 3. Flores G. 11. Gidi S. 15. Hadebe T. 4. Hagglund N. 37. Jimenez S. 93. Mrozek F. (G) 24. Smith K.	3. Aviles T. 1. Breza S. (G) 5. Craig B. 29. Escobar O. 39. Guboglo A. 7. Opoku M. 6. Piette S. 14. Rios D. 17. Thorhallsson D.
Coaches
Noonan P.	Donadel M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Carmona W. ⚽, Owusu P. (A), Hidalgo B. (A2)
40', 1 - 1, Echenique E. ⚽, Powell A. (A),
45', 1 - 2, Owusu P. ⚽, Ivan Jaime (A), Carmona W. (A2)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
47', Synchuk G. 🟨,
52', 2 - 2, Jabbari A. ⚽, Echenique E. (A), Bucha P. (A2)
57', Synchuk G. ↓, Opoku M. ↑,
58', Ivan Jaime ↓, Thorhallsson D. ↑,
60', Robinson M. 🟥,
62', Miazga M. 🟨,
64', 2 - 3, Owusu P. (Penalty Awarded),
65', Miazga M. ↓, Hadebe T. ↑,
65', Jabbari A. ↓, Hagglund N. ↑,
66', Nwobodo O. 🟨,
74', Owusu P. ↓, Rios D. ↑,
74', Carmona W. ↓, Piette S. ↑,
77', Powell A. ↓, Gidi S. ↑,
77', Bucha P. ↓, Barlow T. ↑,
80', 3 - 3, Barlow T. ⚽,
83', Hadebe T. 🟨,
84', Longstaff M. ↓, Escobar O. ↑,
88', Nwobodo O. ↓, Jimenez S. ↑,
90+4', 4 - 3, Denkey K. ⚽,
90+5', Denkey K. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 3.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Cincinnati may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Montreal has had a series of away games.

In this match, Cincinnati is the team to beat.

There will not play in Cincinnati: Chirila S. (Leg Injury) Fletcher K. (Knee Injury) Valenzuela G. (Red Card)

There will not play in Montreal: Herbers F. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Montreal: Ibrahim S. (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:20. (average 2.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 2.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cincinnati
CONCACAF Champions Cup
19.03.26	Tigres UANL - Cincinnati	5:1 ✺
MLS
15.03.26	New England Revolution - Cincinnati	6:1 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
12.03.26	Cincinnati - Tigres UANL	3:0 ✺
MLS
08.03.26	Cincinnati - Toronto FC	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Minnesota United - Cincinnati	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWLL
- CF Montréal
MLS
14.03.26	Orlando City - CF Montréal	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	New York Red Bulls - CF Montréal	0:3 ✺
28.02.26	Chicago Fire - CF Montréal	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	San Diego - CF Montréal	5:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.01.26	Slovan Liberec - CF Montréal	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
18.10.25	Cincinnati - CF Montréal	3:0
25.06.25	CF Montréal - Cincinnati	1:3
31.08.24	Cincinnati - CF Montréal	4:1
13.04.24	CF Montréal - Cincinnati	2:1
20.09.23	CF Montréal - Cincinnati	1:1
17.05.23	Cincinnati - CF Montréal	3:0
28.05.22	CF Montréal - Cincinnati	4:3

Upcoming Matches