Match Info

MLS

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Yankee Stadium (New York, NY)

Referee: Lauziere P. (Can)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV International


	New York City		St. Louis City

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.9	4.33	Watch
	1.78	3.7	4.45	Watch
	1.78	3.83	4.72
	1.73	3.98	4.48	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4.2
	1.8	4	4.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.69)	3.82 ↓ (3.87)	4.44 ↓ (4.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York City
53.9%

Draw
24.8%

St. Louis City
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

24.3%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

23.5%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

New York City - St. Louis City Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. NY City will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Freese M. (G) 24. Gray T. 13. Thiago Martins (C) 5. Trewin K. 22. O'Toole K. 21. O'Neill A. 10. Moralez M. 55. Parks K. 26. Ojeda A. 7. Mercau N. 17. Wolf H.	1. Burki R. (C) 99. Orozco J. 32. Baumgartl T. 21. Polvara D. 6. Wallem C. 8. Durkin C. 24. Edelman D. 20. Rafael Santos 11. Becher S. 16. Cordova S. 17. Hartel M.
Substitutes
29. Carrizo M. 2. Cavallo N. 87. Farnos A. 34. Raul Gustavo 99. Reid S. 30. Romero T. (G) 32. Shore J. 11. Talles Magno 19. Tanasijevic S.	77. Jeong S. 59. Joyner M. 39. Lundt B. (G) 5. MacNaughton L. 4. Mbacke M. 80. McSorley B. 28. Perez M. 36. Teuchert C. 14. Totland T.
Coaches
Jansen P.	Damet Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Edelman D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 0, Wolf H. ⚽, Moralez M. (A),
56', Orozco J. 🟨,
58', Wolf H. 🟨,
61', Polvara D. 🟨,
65', Durkin C. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
71', Edelman D. ↓, MacNaughton L. ↑,
71', Cordova S. ↓, Teuchert C. ↑,
75', Parks K. ↓, Shore J. ↑,
75', Gray T. ↓, Raul Gustavo ↑,
80', Rafael Santos ↓, Joyner M. ↑,
80', Becher S. ↓, McSorley B. ↑,
87', Ojeda A. ↓, Talles Magno ↑,
88', O'Neill A. ↓, Cavallo N. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 1, McSorley B. ⚽, MacNaughton L. (A),

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).

NY City is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

St. Louis City's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, NY City is considered a favorite.

There will not play in NY City: Jones M. (Broken Leg) Martinez A. (Knee Injury) Perea A. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in St. Louis City: Lowen E. (Personal Reasons) Ostrak T. (Leg Injury) Pearce T. (Inactive) Teuchert C. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, NY City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York City FC
MLS
22.03.26	New York City - Inter Miami	2:3 ✺
14.03.26	New York City - Colorado Rapids	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	New York City - Orlando City	5:0 ✺
01.03.26	Philadelphia Union - New York City	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Los Angeles Galaxy - New York City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWWWT
- St. Louis City SC
MLS
21.03.26	St. Louis City - New England Revolution	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Los Angeles - St. Louis City	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	St. Louis City - Seattle Sounders	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	San Diego - St. Louis City	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	St. Louis City - Charlotte	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

MLS
02.03.24	St. Louis City - New York City	2:0

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