Match Info

MLS

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Saputo Stadium (Montreal, QC)

Referee: Vazquez R. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC


	CF Montréal		Los Angeles

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.5	2.1	Watch
	3.4	3.4	2.05
	3.6	3.6	2.05	Watch
	3.77	3.7	2.08
	3.66	3.56	2.02	Watch
	3.3	3.4	2.1
	3.62	3.48	2.05	Watch
	3.6	3.6	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↓ (4.73)	3.53 ↓ (3.79)	2.06 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CF Montréal
26.9%

Draw
27%

Los Angeles
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.9%

24.8%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2%

23.9%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CF Montréal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CF Montréal's performance.

Los Angeles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Los Angeles might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CF Montréal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Los Angeles could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

CF Montréal - Los Angeles Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Los Angeles (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Montreal (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Los Angeles will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Montreal (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Los Angeles (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Sirois J. (G) 27. Bugaj D. 24. Campbell G. 2. Neal J. 13. Petrasso L. 25. Sealy D. 19. Saliba N. 6. Piette S. 21. Herbers F. 17. Vrioni G. 9. Owusu P.	1. Lloris H. (G) 14. Palencia S. 4. Segura E. 33. Long A. 29. Smolyakov A. 6. Igor Jesus 8. Delgado M. 23. Amaya F. 27. Ordaz N. 17. Ebobisse J. 99. Bouanga D.
Substitutes
4. Alvarez F. 1. Breza S. (G) 23. Clark C. 5. Craig B. 35. Graham-Roache O. 39. Guboglo Y. 22. Loturi V. 3. Pearce T. 28. Vilsaint J.	9. Giroud O. 24. Hollingshead R. 5. Marlon 30. Martinez D. 91. Nkosi Tafari 18. Ochoa D. (G) 21. Raposo R. 22. Under C. 20. Yeboah Y.
Coaches
Donadel M.	Cherundolo S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Vrioni G. ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, Owusu P. (Pen),
25', Saliba N. 🟨,
38', 2 - 1, Delgado M. ⚽, Ordaz N. (A), Palencia S. (A2)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Smolyakov A. ↓, Hollingshead R. ↑,
49', Herbers F. ↓, Loturi V. ↑,
59', Saliba N. ↓, Pearce T. ↑,
59', Vrioni G. ↓, Clark C. ↑,
59', Amaya F. ↓, Yeboah Y. ↑,
59', Campbell G. ↓, Craig B. ↑,
69', Piette S. 🟨,
72', Ebobisse J. ↓, Giroud O. ↑,
72', Ordaz N. ↓, Under C. ↑,
78', 2 - 2, Giroud O. ⚽,
83', Delgado M. 🟨,
89', Owusu P. ↓, Graham-Roache O. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Recent form of Montreal has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Los Angeles is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Montreal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Los Angeles is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Montreal: Campbell G. (Thigh Injury) Duke B. (Lower-Body Injury) Herbers F. (Ankle Injury) Synchuk G. (Lower-Body Injury) Waterman J. (Red Card) Yankov D. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Los Angeles: Chanot M. (Head Injury) Dellavalle L. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Montreal: Petrasso L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Los Angeles: Holm O. T. (Leg Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 2.5:4.5).

Including home match between the teams, Montreal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Montréal
Canadian Championship
20.05.25	Forge - CF Montréal	1:0 ✺
MLS
17.05.25	CF Montréal - Toronto FC	1:6 ✺
14.05.25	CF Montréal - Columbus Crew	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	New York City - CF Montréal	0:1 ✺
03.05.25	CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LLTWL
- Los Angeles FC
MLS
18.05.25	Los Angeles Galaxy - Los Angeles	2:2 ✺
14.05.25	Los Angeles - Seattle Sounders	4:0 ✺
11.05.25	Vancouver Whitecaps - Los Angeles	2:2 ✺
03.05.25	Los Angeles - Houston Dynamo	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Los Angeles - St. Louis City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

MLS
24.05.19	Los Angeles - CF Montréal	4:2
21.04.18	CF Montréal - Los Angeles	3:5

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