Match Info

MLS

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: BMO Stadium (Los Angeles, CA)

Referee: Fischer D. (Can)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	Sport 4
South-korea	Coupang Play, SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Usa	MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
World	Apple TV International


	Los Angeles		Houston Dynamo

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.7	4.33	Watch
	1.7	3.95	4.7	Watch
	1.71	4.03	5.02
	1.69	3.95	4.8	Watch
	1.67	3.7	4.6
	1.71	4.05	4.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.62)	3.9 ↓ (4.24)	4.74 ↓ (4.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Los Angeles
56.1%

Draw
24.1%

Houston Dynamo
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

22.3%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

24.7%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Angeles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Houston Dynamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Los Angeles, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Los Angeles - Houston Dynamo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Houston (4.60) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Los Angeles will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Houston (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lloris H. (G) 14. Palencia S. 5. Porteous R. 91. Nkosi Tafari 4. Segura E. 46. Eustaquio S. 8. Delgado M. 30. Martinez D. 7. Son Heung-Min (C) 18. Shaffelburg J. 27. Ordaz N.	31. Bond J. (G) 6. Artur (C) 3. Antonio Carlos 34. Resch A. 36. Felipe Andrade 8. McGlynn J. 18. Samassekou D. 11. Ennali L. 19. Bogusz M. 20. Guilherme 10. Ponce E.
Substitutes
19. Boyd T. 66. Choiniere M. 17. Ebobisse J. 12. Hasal T. (G) 24. Hollingshead R. 33. Long A. 21. Raposo R. 29. Smolyakov A. 11. Tillman T.	24. Aliyu I. 30. Bouzat A. 26. Gillingham B. (G) 16. Herrera H. 14. Holmes D. 9. Lingr O. 17. Markanich N. 21. Negri F. 13. Vines S.
Coaches
Dos Santos M.	Olsen B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
25', 0 - 1, McGlynn J. ⚽, Ennali L. (A),
27', Guilherme 🟨,
34', 0 - 2, Guilherme ⚽,
43', Palencia S. ↓, Raposo R. ↑,
45', 1 - 2, Ordaz N. ⚽, Shaffelburg J. (A), Son Heung-Min (A2)
45+4', McGlynn J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 1 - 3, Bogusz M. ⚽,
55', 1 - 4, McGlynn J. ⚽, Ennali L. (A), Guilherme (A2)
59', Eustaquio S. ↓, Tillman T. ↑,
59', Shaffelburg J. ↓, Boyd T. ↑,
59', Delgado M. ↓, Choiniere M. ↑,
76', McGlynn J. ↓, Bouzat A. ↑,
79', Ordaz N. ↓, Ebobisse J. ↑,
80', Martinez D. 🟨,
83', Samassekou D. ↓, Herrera H. ↑,
86', Boyd T. 🟨,
88', Guilherme ↓, Aliyu I. ↑,
88', Ponce E. ↓, Lingr O. ↑,
88', Bogusz M. ↓, Holmes D. ↑,
90+1', Felipe Andrade 🟨,
90+3', Raposo R. 🟨,
90+4', Nkosi Tafari 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Los Angeles won 2.

Los Angeles has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Houston is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Houston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Los Angeles is the team to beat.

There will not play in Los Angeles: Bouanga D. (Yellow Cards) Boudri A. (Leg Injury) Dellavalle L. (Knee Injury) Igor Jesus (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Houston: Lucas Halter (Lower-Body Injury) Maurer J. (Concussion) Sviatchenko E. (Lower-Body Injury) Vines S. (Lower-Body Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Los Angeles won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:27. (average 1.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Los Angeles won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Los Angeles FC
CONCACAF Champions Cup
06.05.26	Toluca - Los Angeles	4:0 ✺
MLS
02.05.26	San Diego - Los Angeles	2:2 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
29.04.26	Los Angeles - Toluca	2:1 ✺
MLS
25.04.26	Minnesota United - Los Angeles	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	Los Angeles - Colorado Rapids	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTWWT
- Houston Dynamo
MLS
02.05.26	Houston Dynamo - Colorado Rapids	1:0 ✺
US Open Cup
29.04.26	Houston Dynamo - Louisville City	2:1 ET ✺
MLS
25.04.26	Austin FC - Houston Dynamo	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Houston Dynamo - San Diego	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Orlando City - Houston Dynamo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
28.02.26	Houston Dynamo - Los Angeles	0:2
03.05.25	Los Angeles - Houston Dynamo	2:0
05.04.25	Houston Dynamo - Los Angeles	1:0
07.09.24	Houston Dynamo - Los Angeles	0:0
31.08.24	Los Angeles - Houston Dynamo	0:2
02.12.23	Los Angeles - Houston Dynamo	2:0
14.06.23	Los Angeles - Houston Dynamo	0:1

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