What is the expert prediction for Los Angeles vs Seattle Sounders?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Los Angeles vs Seattle Sounders. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Los Angeles vs Seattle Sounders Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, May 24, 2026)

Match Info

MLS

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: BMO Stadium (Los Angeles, CA)

Referee: Touchan R. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	TSN 5
South-korea	Coupang Play, SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Usa	FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX Network, FOX Sports 1, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com, MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV International


	Los Angeles		Seattle Sounders

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.75	3.75	Watch
	1.87	3.7	3.75
	1.95	3.7	3.7	Watch
	1.95	3.83	3.75
	1.96	3.66	3.63	Watch
	1.91	3.5	3.6
	1.95	3.87	3.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (1.96)	3.72 ↑ (3.68)	3.72 ↑ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Los Angeles
49.2%

Draw
25.4%

Seattle Sounders
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

25.7%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

27%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Angeles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Seattle Sounders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seattle Sounders than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	23.1%	23.1%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Los Angeles will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Seattle will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Los Angeles: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Hasal T. (G) 24. Hollingshead R. 5. Porteous R. 33. Long A. 4. Segura E. 8. Delgado M. 66. Choiniere M. 11. Tillman T. 30. Martinez D. 7. Son Heung-Min (C) 99. Bouanga D.	26. Thomas A. (C) 85. Kossa-Rienzi K. 20. Kim Kee-Hee 25. Ragen J. 5. Nouhou 9. Ferreira J. 31. Dotson H. 7. Roldan C. 14. Rothrock P. 13. Morris J. 11. Rusnak A.
Substitutes
65. Boudri A. 19. Boyd T. 31. Carter C. (G) 17. Ebobisse J. 46. Eustaquio S. 91. Nkosi Tafari 27. Ordaz N. 21. Raposo R. 29. Smolyakov A.	33. Baker C. 37. Brunell S. 95. De Rosario O. 24. Frei S. (G) 90. Gomez S. 45. Kingston P. 35. Lopez A. 19. Musovski D. 16. Roldan A.
Coaches
Dos Santos M.	Schmetzer B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Dotson H. ↓, Brunell S. ↑,
63', Kim Kee-Hee ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
69', Rothrock P. ↓, Musovski D. ↑,
78', Martinez D. ↓, Boyd T. ↑,
79', Choiniere M. ↓, Eustaquio S. ↑,
82', Long A. ↓, Nkosi Tafari ↑,
86', 1 - 0, Tillman T. ⚽, Boyd T. (A),
90', Ferreira J. ↓, De Rosario O. ↑,
90', Kossa-Rienzi K. ↓, Kingston P. ↑,
90+2', Bouanga D. ↓, Smolyakov A. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Los Angeles won 3.

Los Angeles is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Seattle has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Los Angeles may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Los Angeles has had a series of away games.

Recently, Seattle has had a series of home games.

Los Angeles might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Los Angeles: Dellavalle L. (Knee Injury) Igor Jesus (Knee Injury) Palencia S. (Injury)

There will not play in Seattle: Gomez Andrade Y. (Hamstring Injury) Petkovic N. (Knee Injury) Roldan A. (Hamstring Injury) de La Vega P. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Los Angeles: Boudri A. (Leg Injury) Lloris H. (Leg Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Los Angeles won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:24. (average 1.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Los Angeles won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:6. (average 2.1:0.8).

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Outrights of MLS for now

Los Angeles FC: 8.2% Seattle Sounders: 3.91%

Last Results with these Odds

Los Angeles - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 48.21%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Los Angeles FC
MLS
17.05.26	Nashville SC - Los Angeles	3:2 ✺
13.05.26	St. Louis City - Los Angeles	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Los Angeles - Houston Dynamo	1:4 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
06.05.26	Toluca - Los Angeles	4:0 ✺
MLS
02.05.26	San Diego - Los Angeles	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT
- Seattle Sounders FC
MLS
16.05.26	Seattle Sounders - Los Angeles Galaxy	0:2 ✺
13.05.26	Seattle Sounders - San Jose Earthquakes	3:2 ✺
09.05.26	Seattle Sounders - San Diego	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Sporting Kansas City - Seattle Sounders	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Seattle Sounders - FC Dallas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
14.05.25	Los Angeles - Seattle Sounders	4:0
08.03.25	Seattle Sounders - Los Angeles	5:2
23.11.24	Los Angeles - Seattle Sounders	1:2 ET
US Open Cup
28.08.24	Seattle Sounders - Los Angeles	0:1
CONCACAF League Cup
17.08.24	Seattle Sounders - Los Angeles	0:3
MLS
20.07.24	Seattle Sounders - Los Angeles	0:3
24.02.24	Los Angeles - Seattle Sounders	2:1

Los Angeles - Seattle Sounders: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide