The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
CF Montréal 53.1%
Draw 23.2%
San Jose Earthquakes 23.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.6%
24%
27.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.5%
23.6%
26.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CF Montréal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
San Jose Earthquakes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
8.3%
8.3%
CF Montréal - San Jose Earthquakes Predictions
Users Predictions:
CF Montréal will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
40. Sirois J. (G) 24. Campbell G. 16. Waterman J. 4. Alvarez F. 11. Marshall-Rutty J. 6. Piette S. 19. Saliba N. 44. Edwards R. 10. Duke B. 23. Clark C. 17. Martinez J.
42. Daniel (G) 29. Akapo C. 24. Munie D. 26. Rodrigues 94. Vitor Costa 30. Tsakiris N. 7. Gruezo C. 10. Espinoza C. 23. Lopez H. 9. Pellegrino A. 11. Ebobisse J.
Substitutes
1. Breza S. (G) 27. Bugaj D. 9. Coccaro M. 25. Corbo G. 7. Opoku K. 46. Pearce T. 3. Sosa J. 14. Sunusi I. 8. Yankov D.
15. Beason T. 3. Marie P. 6. Morales A. 16. Skahan J. 22. Thompson T. 33. Verhoeven O. 4. Wilson Valdez B. R. 25. Yarbrough W. (G) 14. Yueill J.
Coaches
Courtois L.
Russell I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Martinez J. ⚽, Duke B. (A),
52', Edwards R. 🟨,
55', 2 - 0, Martinez J. ⚽, Clark C. (A),
56', Tsakiris N. ↓, Yueill J. ↑,
57', Pellegrino A. ↓, Marie P. ↑,
57', Lopez H. ↓, Skahan J. ↑,
60', Gruezo C. 🟨,
66', Yueill J. 🟨,
71', Marshall-Rutty J. ↓, Bugaj D. ↑,
71', Edwards R. ↓, Pearce T. ↑,
71', Martinez J. ↓, Coccaro M. ↑,
72', 3 - 0, Clark C. ⚽, Duke B. (A),
73', Gruezo C. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
77', Ebobisse J. ↓, Thompson T. ↑,
78', Saliba N. ↓, Corbo G. ↑,
78', Clark C. ↓, Opoku K. ↑,
85', Morales A. 🟨,
90', Pearce T. 🟨,
Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 14).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Montreal won 3.
Recent matches Montreal is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
San Jose is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Montreal is a favorite.
There will not play in Montreal: Campbell G.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in San Jose: Baldisimo M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Bouda O.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Judd P.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Kikanovic B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Marcinkowski J.
(Knee Injury)
Wilson Valdez B. R.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Montreal: Sosa J.
(Calf Injury)
Waterman J.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in San Jose: Munie D.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Vitor Costa
(Lower-Body Injury)
Last 10 head-to-head matches Montreal won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Montreal won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-1.