Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 22 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Stadionul Dr. Constantin Rădulescu (Cluj-Napoca)

Referee: Simovic N. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Romania	Digi Sport 1, Prima Sport 1


	CFR Cluj		Paphos

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.25	3.9	Watch
	1.83	3.25	4.1
	1.85	3.4	4.2
	1.9	3.48	4.48
	1.87	3.57	4	Watch
	1.8	3.5	3.8
	1.85	3.61	4.59
	1.85	3.4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.85)	3.43 ↑ (3.29)	4.16 ↓ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CFR Cluj
50.3%

Draw
27.2%

Paphos
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

28.1%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

27%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CFR Cluj has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Paphos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CFR Cluj than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.8%	13.5%	2.7%

CFR Cluj - Paphos Predictions

Users Predictions: CFR Cluj will win (30 of 35 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.12% – 97.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Popa M. (G) 19. Mogos V. 42. Boben M. 44. Kresic A. 45. Camora M. (C) 26. Artean A. 18. Keita K. 77. Tachtsidis P. 10. Deac C. 9. Birligea D. 17. Korenica M.	1. Ivusic I. (G) 77. Correia J. 23. Luckassen D. 5. Goldar D. 2. Pileas K. 30. Dragomir V. 25. Name M. 22. Tankovic M. 88. Pepe 7. Bruno 10. Jairo (C)
Substitutes
3. Abeid A. 88. Djokovic D. 82. Fica A. 5. Graovac D. 89. Hindrich O. (G) 7. Kamara M. 4. Leo Bolgado 99. Michael P. 98. Munteanu L. 96. Nkololo B. 11. Paun A. 13. Rocha S.	33. Anderson Silva 34. Dall'Igna D. 70. Ilia M. 11. Jaja 9. Leo Natel 93. Michail N. (G) 45. Rafael Pontelo 26. Sunjic I. 83. Theodoulou P. (G) 24. Valakari O.
Coaches
Petrescu D.	Carcedo J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Korenica M. ⚽,
35', Pepe 🟨,
40', Deac C. 🟥,
45+1', Boben M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pepe ↓, Anderson Silva ↑,
46', Name M. ↓, Valakari O. ↑,
59', Birligea D. 🟨,
59', Tachtsidis P. 🟨,
62', Pileas K. ↓, Sunjic I. ↑,
62', Bruno ↓, Jaja ↑,
64', Tachtsidis P. ↓, Nkololo B. ↑,
76', Birligea D. ↓, Michael P. ↑,
80', Correia J. ↓, Leo Natel ↑,
87', Keita K. ↓, Djokovic D. ↑,
87', Korenica M. ↓, Abeid A. ↑,
88', Jairo 🟨,
90+1', Goldar D. 🟨,
90+2', Luckassen D. 🟨,
90+4', Popa M. 🟨,
90+5', Camora M. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

CFR Cluj is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Paphos is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paphos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match CFR Cluj is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CFR Cluj
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.08.24	CFR Cluj - Maccabi Petah Tikva	1:0 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
11.08.24	CFR Cluj - Unirea Slobozia	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.08.24	Maccabi Petah Tikva - CFR Cluj	0:1 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
04.08.24	CFR Cluj - Universitatea Cluj	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
01.08.24	Neman Grodno - CFR Cluj	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWLW
- Paphos FC
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.08.24	Paphos - CSKA 1948 Sofia	4:0 ET ✺
08.08.24	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Paphos	2:1 ✺
01.08.24	Paphos - Žalgiris	3:0 ET ✺
25.07.24	Žalgiris - Paphos	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
18.07.24	Paphos - Elfsborg	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLWLL

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