Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video


	CRB Maceio		Santos

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.2	2.25
	3.1	3	2.15
	3.25	3.15	2.25
	3.32	3.15	2.31
	3.27	3.11	2.29	Watch
	3.2	3	2.25
	3.38	3.25	2.23
	3.25	3.15	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↓ (3.53)	3.13 ↓ (3.31)	2.25 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CRB Maceio
28.7%

Draw
29.8%

Santos
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

28.3%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

27.8%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CRB Maceio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

CRB Maceio - Santos Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - CRB (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. CRB (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Matheus Albino (G) 42. Weverton 44. Henri 4. Segovia L. (C) 2. Matheus Ribeiro 22. Higor Meritao 8. Gege 10. Danielzinho 7. Douglas Baggio 9. Breno Herculano 17. Thiaguinho	77. Gabriel Brazao (G) 29. Godoy L. 2. Ze Ivaldo 14. Luan Peres 33. Souza 8. Rincon T. 6. Ze Rafael 32. Rollheiser B. 22. Barreal A. 36. Deivid Washington 11. Guilherme
Substitutes
3. Anderson Jesus 99. Daniel Lima 34. Darlisson 30. Fernando Henrique 31. Gazao 5. Lucas Kallyel 28. Mikael 18. Rafinha 33. Rodriguinho 20. Vinicius Barata 1. Vitor Caetano (G) 6. Willian Bahia	49. Gabriel Bontempo 20. Hyan 3. Joao Basso 1. Joao Paulo (G) 44. Joao Pedro Chermont 38. Kevyson 79. Luca Meirelles 25. Luisao 41. Mateus Xavier 10. Neymar 16. Thaciano 9. Tiquinho Soares
Coaches
Eduardo Barroca	Xavier C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Souza 🟨,
58', Barreal A. ↓, Thaciano ↑,
66', Rollheiser B. ↓, Neymar ↑,
66', Ze Rafael ↓, Gabriel Bontempo ↑,
67', Thiaguinho ↓, Rafinha ↑,
67', Breno Herculano ↓, Mikael ↑,
81', Douglas Baggio ↓, Vinicius Barata ↑,
81', Gege ↓, Lucas Kallyel ↑,
85', Deivid Washington ↓, Tiquinho Soares ↑,
86', Souza ↓, Joao Basso ↑,
90', Danielzinho ↓, Fernando Henrique ↑,
90+3', Lucas Kallyel 🟨,
90+4', Ze Ivaldo 🟨,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Higor Meritao (Pen),
1, Neymar (Pen),
2, Fernando Henrique (Pen),
2, Guilherme (Pen),
3, Matheus Ribeiro (Pen),
3, Rincon T. (Pen),
4, Segovia L. (Pen),
4, Tiquinho Soares (Pen),
5, Henri (Pen),
5, Gabriel Bontempo (Pen),
6, Weverton (Pen),
6, Ze Ivaldo (Pen),

Preview

1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.

CRB has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Santos's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Santos might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, CRB won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, CRB won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Serie B
18.05.25	CRB Maceio - Criciúma	1:0 ✺
12.05.25	Amazonas - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
06.05.25	CRB Maceio - Cuiabá	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
01.05.25	Santos - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
27.04.25	Paysandu - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 WTTTT
- Santos FC
Brazilian Serie A
18.05.25	Corinthians - Santos	1:0 ✺
12.05.25	Santos - Ceará	0:0 ✺
04.05.25	Grêmio - Santos	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
01.05.25	Santos - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
27.04.25	Santos - Red Bull Bragantino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
01.05.25	Santos - CRB Maceio	1:1
Brazilian Serie B
17.11.24	Santos - CRB Maceio	0:2
28.07.24	CRB Maceio - Santos	1:1

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