Match Info

Serie B - Round 28

Date: 15 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)

Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports, Zapping


	CRB Maceio		Sport Recife

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.4	4	Watch
	1.83	3.60	3.70
	1.92	3.4	3.65	Watch
	1.97	3.58	4.05
	1.89	3.57	3.94	Watch
	1.92	3.5	4
	1.9	3.4	3.99	Watch
	1.92	3.5	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.8)	3.49 ↓ (3.6)	3.87 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CRB Maceio
49.1%

Draw
26.7%

Sport Recife
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

25.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

25.6%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CRB Maceio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

CRB Maceio - Sport Recife Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Recife (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: CRB Maceio will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Recife (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vitor Caetano (G) 2. Kevin 22. Bressan (C) 33. Lyncon 6. Reverson 21. Pedro Castro 20. Vinicius Barata 8. Crystopher Ribeiro 10. Danielzinho 97. Dada Belmonte 28. Mikael	26. Thiago Couto (G) 3. Marcelo Ajul 5. Benevenuto (C) 33. Kayky Almeida 96. Edson Lucas 23. Ze Gabriel 6. Biel Fonseca 30. Chrystian Barletta 20. Diego Hernandez 10. de Pena Carlos 9. Pedro Perotti
Substitutes
7. Douglas Baggio 26. Estevao 27. Fabio Alemao 18. Geovane 44. Henri 32. Hereda 19. Joao Neto 50. Luizao 12. Matheus Albino (G) 16. Maycon 17. Thiaguinho 95. Ygor Catatau	68. Augusto 21. Brenno (G) 25. Clayson 77. Dudu 8. Fernando Sobral 28. Habraao 31. Marlon Douglas 40. Matheus Baraka 19. Neto Pessoa 7. Patrick de Paula 76. Rai 29. Willian Oliveira
Coaches
Fabio Matias	Soso M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Bressan 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Crystopher Ribeiro ⚽, Mikael (A),
30', Danielzinho 🟨,
30', de Pena Carlos 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kevin ↓, Hereda ↑,
46', Diego Hernandez ↓, Dudu ↑,
46', Biel Fonseca ↓, Fernando Sobral ↑,
46', Marcelo Ajul ↓, Augusto ↑,
54', Crystopher Ribeiro 🟨,
62', Mikael ↓, Joao Neto ↑,
62', Vinicius Barata ↓, Thiaguinho ↑,
66', Edson Lucas ↓, Patrick de Paula ↑,
76', Danielzinho ↓, Geovane ↑,
81', Pedro Castro ↓, Luizao ↑,
83', Ze Gabriel ↓, Neto Pessoa ↑,
84', Geovane 🟨,
86', Fernando Sobral 🟨,
89', 2 - 0, Hereda ⚽, Crystopher Ribeiro (A),
90+2', 2 - 1, Patrick de Paula ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CRB won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, CRB is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in CRB: Lucas Lovat (Red Card)

There will not play in Recife: Claudinho (Injury) Felipinho (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in CRB: De Lucca (Muscle Injury) Leo Campos (Inactive)

There are questionable in Recife: Fabio Matheus (Ankle Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, CRB won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, CRB won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 1.6:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	CRB	32	15	6	11	49:45	4	51
8	Sport Recife	32	13	11	8	44:34	10	50

Last Results with these Odds

CRB Maceio - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.85%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Sport Recife - the odds 4.2 are the expected chance of winning is 22.22%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Serie B
09.09.26	Operário Ferroviario - CRB Maceio	3:0 ✺
04.09.26	CRB Maceio - América Mineiro	3:1 ✺
30.08.26	CRB Maceio - Criciúma	2:1 ✺
25.08.26	Juventude - CRB Maceio	2:1 ✺
20.08.26	Athletic Club - CRB Maceio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWLW
- Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie B
10.09.26	Sport Recife - Ponte Preta	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Ceará - Sport Recife	2:1 ✺
28.08.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Sport Recife	2:1 ✺
24.08.26	Sport Recife - América Mineiro	3:0 ✺
19.08.26	Avaí - Sport Recife	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
17.05.26	Sport Recife - CRB Maceio	1:2
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
05.03.25	Sport Recife - CRB Maceio	2:1
Brazilian Serie B
15.09.24	Sport Recife - CRB Maceio	2:0
11.09.24	CRB Maceio - Sport Recife	1:1
28.07.23	Sport Recife - CRB Maceio	2:0
05.07.23	CRB Maceio - Sport Recife	2:0
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
26.03.23	Sport Recife - CRB Maceio	4:0

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