Match Info

Serie B - Round 23

Date: 20 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Estádio Joaquim Portugal (Minas Gerais)

Referee: Bauermann G. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Athletic Club		CRB Maceio

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.10	3.20	Watch
	2.30	2.95	3.10
	2.50	3.05	2.90
	2.44	3.15	3.30
	2.43	3.05	3.08	Watch
	2.50	3.05	3.00
	2.22	3.10	3.37	Watch
	2.35	3.00	3.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.28)	3.06 ↓ (3.25)	3.13 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Club
39.5%

Draw
30.6%

CRB Maceio
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

28.8%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

30.4%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

CRB Maceio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	85.7%	0%

Athletic Club - CRB Maceio Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - under (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luan Polli (G) 3. Jhonatan Silva 4. Belezi 19. Pool J. 6. Zeca (C) 15. Jota 16. Joao Miguel 23. Enzo Santos 11. Max 9. Carlinhos 17. Kauan Rodrigues	1. Vitor Caetano (G) 2. Kevin 22. Bressan (C) 33. Lyncon 6. Reverson 8. Crystopher Ribeiro 17. Thiaguinho 21. Pedro Castro 10. Danielzinho 97. Dada Belmonte 28. Mikael
Substitutes
20. Aponza W. 18. Assis 8. Cabezas G. 22. Diogo Batista 2. Douglas Pele 13. Felipe Vieira 10. Gustavinho 5. Kauan Lindes 14. Marcelo Henrique 12. Tony (G) 21. Vera D. 7. Yago Santos	45. De Lucca 7. Douglas Baggio 26. Estevao 27. Fabio Alemao 23. Fabio Henrique (G) 18. Geovane 11. Guilherme Pato 44. Henri 32. Hereda 12. Matheus Albino (G) 16. Maycon 20. Vinicius Barata
Coaches
Alex Souza	Fabio Matias

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Zeca ↓, Diogo Batista ↑,
33', 0 - 1, Dada Belmonte ⚽, Crystopher Ribeiro (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Carlinhos ↓, Aponza W. ↑,
46', Jota ↓, Vera D. ↑,
46', Pool J. ↓, Yago Santos ↑,
56', 0 - 2, Mikael ⚽, Danielzinho (A),
63', Crystopher Ribeiro ↓, De Lucca ↑,
63', Kevin ↓, Hereda ↑,
65', Aponza W. 🟨,
69', Thiaguinho 🟨,
73', Jhonatan Silva ↓, Cabezas G. ↑,
74', Thiaguinho ↓, Geovane ↑,
77', De Lucca ↓, Vinicius Barata ↑,
79', Danielzinho ↓, Fabio Alemao ↑,
90', Max 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 9).

Athletic is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

CRB is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Athletic: Rodrigo Gelado (Injury) Sidimar (Injury) Tavares R. (Injury)

There will not play in CRB: Lucas Lovat (Yellow Cards) Matheus Albino (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in CRB: Leo Campos (Inactive) Luiz Phellype (Inactive)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).

Including home match between the teams, Athletic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	CRB	32	15	6	11	49:45	4	51
14	Athletic Club	32	10	12	10	38:37	1	42

Last Results with these Odds

Athletic Club - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 41.03%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

CRB Maceio - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 30.18%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Club MG
Brazilian Serie B
16.08.26	América Mineiro - Athletic Club	1:3 ✺
09.08.26	Athletic Club - Criciúma	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Ponte Preta - Athletic Club	1:1 ✺
23.07.26	Athletic Club - São Bernardo	2:1 ✺
18.07.26	Atlético Goianiense - Athletic Club	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWTWT
- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Serie B
16.08.26	CRB Maceio - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:0 ✺
11.08.26	Avaí - CRB Maceio	0:1 ✺
27.07.26	CRB Maceio - Vila Nova	2:0 ✺
22.07.26	Ceará - CRB Maceio	0:1 ✺
16.07.26	CRB Maceio - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
12.04.26	CRB Maceio - Athletic Club	2:3
12.08.25	CRB Maceio - Athletic Club	1:0
13.04.25	Athletic Club - CRB Maceio	1:2
Copa do Brasil
12.03.24	CRB Maceio - Athletic Club	2:0

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