Match Info

Serie B - Round 26

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)

Referee: Batalha M. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	CRB Maceio		América Mineiro

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.00	5.25	Watch
	1.55	4.10	4.80
	1.48	4.20	6.25	Watch
	1.61	4.10	5.71
	1.51	4.24	6.11
	1.58	4.05	5.60
	1.58	3.96	5.48	Watch
	1.58	4.00	5.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.67)	4.08 ↑ (3.7)	5.53 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CRB Maceio
60.1%

Draw
22.9%

América Mineiro
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

25.1%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

24%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CRB Maceio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

CRB Maceio - América Mineiro Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. CRB (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - over (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vitor Caetano (G) 2. Kevin 22. Bressan (C) 33. Lyncon 6. Reverson 21. Pedro Castro 20. Vinicius Barata 8. Crystopher Ribeiro 10. Danielzinho 97. Dada Belmonte 28. Mikael	91. Bruno Brigido (G) 15. Alex Silva 45. Ricardo Silva (C) 4. Rafa Barcelos 25. Ostchega T. 88. Gustavo Barreto 55. Otavio Goncalves 37. Julio Cesar 9. Willian Bigode 7. Guilherme Parede 20. Paulo Victor
Substitutes
7. Douglas Baggio 26. Estevao 27. Fabio Alemao 23. Fabio Henrique (G) 18. Geovane 11. Guilherme Pato 44. Henri 32. Hereda 9. Joao Neto 50. Luizao 19. Luiz Phellype 16. Maycon	5. Elizari F. 31. Fabio 1. Gustavo (G) 13. Heitor 39. Italo G. 93. Jorge Jimenez 99. Marcelo Macola 30. Montes L. 14. Pineiro R. 3. Sosa L.
Coaches
Fabio Matias	Gonzaga Leite D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Crystopher Ribeiro ⚽, Danielzinho (A),
45+2', Gustavo Barreto 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Alex Silva ↓, Fabio ↑,
52', 2 - 0, Mikael ⚽, Reverson (A),
54', Reverson 🟨,
63', Guilherme Parede ↓, Pineiro R. ↑,
63', Julio Cesar ↓, Elizari F. ↑,
66', Vinicius Barata ↓, Joao Neto ↑,
67', Mikael ↓, Douglas Baggio ↑,
69', 3 - 0, Kevin ⚽, Danielzinho (A),
72', Rafa Barcelos ↓, Sosa L. ↑,
75', Otavio Goncalves 🟨,
76', Kevin ↓, Hereda ↑,
76', Pedro Castro ↓, Geovane ↑,
79', Ostchega T. 🟨,
79', Otavio Goncalves ↓, Jorge Jimenez ↑,
81', 3 - 1, Willian Bigode ⚽,
88', Danielzinho ↓, Estevao ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CRB won 2.

CRB is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

América MG is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, CRB is the obvious favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, CRB won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 0.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, CRB won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1:1.1).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now

CRB: 0.5%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	CRB	32	15	6	11	49:45	4	51
19	America MG ✔	32	4	5	23	21:53	-32	17

Last Results with these Odds

CRB Maceio - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.58%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Serie B
30.08.26	CRB Maceio - Criciúma	2:1 ✺
25.08.26	Juventude - CRB Maceio	2:1 ✺
20.08.26	Athletic Club - CRB Maceio	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	CRB Maceio - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:0 ✺
11.08.26	Avaí - CRB Maceio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLWTW
- América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie B
30.08.26	América Mineiro - Ponte Preta	2:0 ✺
24.08.26	Sport Recife - América Mineiro	3:0 ✺
20.08.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - América Mineiro	3:0 ✺
16.08.26	América Mineiro - Athletic Club	1:3 ✺
08.08.26	Botafogo SP - América Mineiro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
03.05.26	América Mineiro - CRB Maceio	1:2
18.10.25	América Mineiro - CRB Maceio	1:1
26.06.25	CRB Maceio - América Mineiro	1:2
29.09.24	CRB Maceio - América Mineiro	2:1
15.06.24	América Mineiro - CRB Maceio	2:1
26.12.20	América Mineiro - CRB Maceio	1:0
28.09.20	CRB Maceio - América Mineiro	0:0

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