The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Grêmio Novorizontino 58.2%
Draw 25.8%
Sport Recife 16%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.4%
25.2%
19.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.1%
26.9%
18.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Grêmio Novorizontino - Sport Recife Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +2 - Recife (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Recife (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
93. Jordi (G) 2. Madson 26. Gabriel Bahia 4. Patrick 66. Maykon Jesus 6. Luis Oyama 18. Leo Naldi 41. Reidiney 10. Romulo 30. Nicolas Careca 11. Robson (C)
26. Thiago Couto (G) 27. Claudinho 3. Marcelo Ajul 33. Kayky Almeida 96. Edson Lucas 23. Ze Gabriel (C) 29. Willian Oliveira 20. Diego Hernandez 8. Juan Alano 25. Clayson 9. Pedro Perotti
Substitutes
9. Carlao 3. Carlinhos 31. Cesar Augusto (G) 19. Diego Galo 27. Diego Mathias 14. Eduardo Brock 50. Juninho 24. Lora J. 28. Marlon 17. Matheus Bianqui 7. Ronald Barcellos 15. Tavinho
68. Augusto 5. Benevenuto 6. Biel Fonseca 21. Brenno (G) 10. de Pena Carlos 77. Dudu 28. Habraao 31. Marlon Douglas 15. Murilo Rhikman 48. Pedro Martins 99. Ze Roberto
Coaches
Moreira E.
Gilmar Pozzo
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Romulo ⚽, Luis Oyama (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Clayson ↓, Dudu ↑,
61', Nicolas Careca ↓, Diego Galo ↑,
61', Ze Gabriel ↓, Biel Fonseca ↑,
61', Claudinho ↓, Augusto ↑,
74', Reidiney ↓, Juninho ↑,
75', Leo Naldi ↓, Matheus Bianqui ↑,
75', Diego Hernandez ↓, Marlon Douglas ↑,
77', 2 - 0, Matheus Bianqui ⚽, Diego Galo (A),
85', Kayky Almeida 🟨,
88', Romulo ↓, Carlao ↑,
88', Willian Oliveira ↓, Ze Roberto ↑,
88', Robson ↓, Marlon ↑,
90+1', 2 - 1, Pedro Perotti ⚽,
90+6', Juninho 🟨,
90+7', Augusto 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 1.
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
In this match, Novorizontino is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Novorizontino: Ortiz C.
(Injury)
Renato Palm
(Inactive)
There will not play in Recife: Fabio Matheus
(Ankle Injury)
Felipinho
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Novorizontino: Ronald Barcellos
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Recife: Chrystian Barletta
(Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.4:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Novorizontino won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
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Jordi (G) 
Diego Hernandez 
Lora J. 
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